{"id":13058,"date":"2018-07-30T00:28:32","date_gmt":"2018-07-30T00:28:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/?p=13058"},"modified":"2018-07-31T00:30:16","modified_gmt":"2018-07-31T00:30:16","slug":"yes-humans-are-depleting-earths-resources-but-footprint-estimates-dont-tell-the-full-story","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/yes-humans-are-depleting-earths-resources-but-footprint-estimates-dont-tell-the-full-story\/","title":{"rendered":"Yes, humans are depleting Earth&#8217;s resources, but &#8216;footprint&#8217; estimates don&#8217;t tell the full story"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/robert-b-richardson-524555\">Robert B. Richardson<\/a>, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/michigan-state-university-1349\">Michigan State University<\/a><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Experts widely agree that human activities are harming the global environment. Since the Industrial Revolution, the world economy has grown dramatically. Overall this is a success story, since rising incomes have lifted millions of people out of poverty. But it has been fueled by population growth and increasing consumption of natural resources. <\/p>\n<p>Rising demand to meet the needs of <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/7-5-billion-and-counting-how-many-humans-can-the-earth-support-98797\">more than 7 billion people<\/a> has transformed land use and generated unprecedented levels of pollution, affecting biodiversity, forests, wetlands, water bodies, soils and air quality.<\/p>\n<p>On August 1, humans will have consumed more natural resources in 2018 than the Earth can regenerate this year, according to the California-based <a href=\"https:\/\/www.footprintnetwork.org\/\">Global Footprint Network<\/a>. This environmental nonprofit calculates the annual arrival of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.overshootday.org\/\">Earth Overshoot Day<\/a> \u2013 the date when humanity\u2019s demands on nature exceed what the network\u2019s analysts estimate the Earth can regenerate over the entire year. August 1 is the earliest date since ecological overshoot began in the early 1970s. <\/p>\n<figure class=\"align-center zoomable\">\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/229645\/original\/file-20180727-106527-11vhdj2.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip\"><img alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/229645\/original\/file-20180727-106527-11vhdj2.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\"><\/a><figcaption>\n              <span class=\"caption\">August 1 is the earliest arrival of Earth Overshoot Day since humans started overusing the planet\u2019s resources in the 1970s.<\/span><br \/>\n              <span class=\"attribution\"><a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/www.overshootday.org\/\">Global Footprint Network<\/a>, <a class=\"license\" href=\"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-sa\/4.0\/\">CC BY-SA<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>As an ecological economist and <a href=\"https:\/\/scholar.google.com\/citations?user=fCsfSRkAAAAJ&amp;hl=en\">scholar<\/a> of sustainability, I am particularly interested in metrics and indicators that can help us understand human uses of Earth\u2019s ecosystems. Better measurements of the impacts of human activities can help identify ways to sustain both human well-being and natural resources. <\/p>\n<p>Earth Overshoot Day is a compelling concept and has raised awareness of the growing impact of human activities on the planet. Unfortunately, the methodology used to calculate it and the ecological footprint on which it is based is conceptually flawed and practically unusable in any science or policy context. In my view, the ecological footprint ultimately does not measure overuse of natural resources \u2013  and it may very well underestimate it.<\/p>\n<h2>Rising demands, finite resources<\/h2>\n<p>The Global Footprint Network estimates when Earth Overshoot Day will arrive based on its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.footprintnetwork.org\/resources\/data\/\">National Footprint Accounts<\/a>. These include extensive data sets that the organization uses to calculate two overarching indicators:  <\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p>The ecological footprint, perhaps the most commonly used metric of the environmental impacts of human resource use. Each country\u2019s ecological footprint is an estimate of the biological resources required to meet its population\u2019s consumption demands and absorb its carbon emissions. <\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>National biocapacity, which is an estimate of how well each country\u2019s ecosystems can produce the natural resources consumed by humans and absorb the waste and pollution that humans generate. <\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure>\n            <iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"440\" height=\"260\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/_T5M3MiPfW4?wmode=transparent&amp;start=0\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">The Global Footprint Network\u2019s National Footprint Accounts compare countries\u2019 annual demand for goods and services to the resources they produce.<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Both of these measures are expressed in global hectares. One hectare is equal to 10,000 square meters, or about 2.47 acres. <\/p>\n<h2>Going into overshoot<\/h2>\n<p>To estimate when Earth Overshoot Day will arrive, the Global Footprint Network calculates the number of days in a given year for which Earth has enough biocapacity to provide for humans\u2019 total  ecological footprint. The rest of the year represents \u201cglobal overshoot.\u201d <\/p>\n<p>When the footprint of consumption worldwide exceeds biocapacity, the authors assert that humans are exceeding the regenerative capacity of Earth\u2019s ecosystems. This year, they estimate that humans are using natural resources 1.7 times faster than ecosystems can regenerate \u2013 or, put another way, consuming 1.7 Earths.<\/p>\n<p>As an example, the ecological footprint for France is 4.7 global hectares per person, and global biocapacity is 1.7 hectares per person. Therefore, it would take (4.7\/ 1.7 =) 2.8 Earths if everyone lived like the French.<\/p>\n<p>France\u2019s Overshoot Day would be estimated as (365 x (1.7\/ 4.7)) = 130, or the 130th day of the year, which is May 5 based on <a href=\"http:\/\/data.footprintnetwork.org\/#\/compareCountries\">2014 data<\/a>. The United States reached overshoot even earlier, on March 15.<\/p>\n<h2>What to count?<\/h2>\n<p>However, there are some fundamental and misleading shortcomings in these calculations. In a 2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pbio.1001700\">paper<\/a>, six authors from academia, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.org\/\">The Nature Conservancy<\/a> and the California-based <a href=\"https:\/\/thebreakthrough.org\/about\">Breakthrough Institute<\/a> analyzed how the Ecological Footprint falls short. In their view, it primarily measures humans\u2019 carbon footprint but does not address other key impacts.<\/p>\n<p>To calculate ecological footprints, the Global Footprint Network estimates the supply and demand of renewable biological resources across six land use types: forests, fishing grounds, croplands, grazing lands, developed lands and the area of forest required to offset human carbon emissions \u2013 that is, the carbon footprint. According to the network\u2019s own analysis, each of these land use types is nearly in balance or in surplus, except for the carbon footprint. <\/p>\n<figure class=\"align-center zoomable\">\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/229650\/original\/file-20180727-106527-110bkma.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip\"><img alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/229650\/original\/file-20180727-106527-110bkma.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\"><\/a><figcaption>\n              <span class=\"caption\">Conventional tillage leaves fields in South Dakota vulnerable to erosion. Impacts like this are not captured in footprint calculations that focus on quantifying resources.<\/span><br \/>\n              <span class=\"attribution\"><a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/flic.kr\/p\/oaBaKH\">USDA NRCS South Dakota<\/a>, <a class=\"license\" href=\"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-sa\/4.0\/\">CC BY-SA<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The two key categories for producing food \u2013 cropland and grazing land \u2013 are defined in such a way that they can never be in deficit. And the analysis does not reflect environmental consequences of human use of these lands, such as soil erosion, nutrient runoff or overuse of water. It measures only land area.<\/p>\n<p>For example, the ecological footprint for Indonesia is 1.61 global hectares per person, which is among the lowest 30 percent of all countries. But according to a 2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/nclimate2277\">study<\/a>, Indonesia has the highest deforestation rate in the world.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, the footprint calculation does not consider whether stocks of natural resources are decreasing or increasing as a result of human consumption. This question is critical for understanding ecological impacts. <\/p>\n<p>These national ecological footprint calculations also conflate sustainability with self-sufficiency. They assume that every nation should produce all of the resources it consumes, even though it might be less expensive for countries to import some goods than to produce them at home. <\/p>\n<p>As an example, the network lists Canada as an <a href=\"http:\/\/data.footprintnetwork.org\/#\/\">\u201cecological creditor\u201d<\/a> whose biocapacity exceeds its population\u2019s ecological footprint. However, Canada is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/beta\/international\/\">among the top 10 oil-producing countries in the world<\/a>, and exports much of that oil for foreign consumption. Most of it goes to the United States, an \u201cecological debtor\u201d that consumes more resources than it produces. <\/p>\n<p>Thinking purely in terms of generic \u201cresources,\u201d everyone is better off when debtor countries can import resources from nations with supplies to spare. There are real and important environmental impacts associated with producing and consuming oil, but the network\u2019s calculations do not address them. Nor do they reflect the decline in natural capital from extracting a nonrenewable resource.<\/p>\n<h2>Measuring sustainability<\/h2>\n<p>The Global Footprint Network asserts that \u201cYou can\u2019t manage what you can\u2019t measure,\u201d but it may be impossible to create a single metric that can capture all human impacts on the environment. Earth Overshoot Day highlights unsustainable uses of natural resources, but we need scientifically robust ecological indicators to inform environmental policy, and a broader understanding of ecological risks.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/counter.theconversation.com\/content\/100705\/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic\" alt=\"The Conversation\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" \/>Better measurements of sustainability should reflect changes in our supplies of natural capital, include estimates of uncertainty and incorporate multiple pathways to reducing carbon footprints. The best tool for measuring human impacts on the planet may be a dashboard of environmental indicators, not a footprint.<\/p>\n<p><span><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/robert-b-richardson-524555\">Robert B. Richardson<\/a>, Associate Professor of Sustainable Development, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/michigan-state-university-1349\">Michigan State University<\/a><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p>This article was originally published on <a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a>. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/yes-humans-are-depleting-earths-resources-but-footprint-estimates-dont-tell-the-full-story-100705\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Robert B. Richardson, Michigan State University Experts widely agree that human activities are harming the global environment. Since the Industrial Revolution, the world economy has grown dramatically. Overall this is a success story, since rising incomes have lifted millions of people out of poverty. But it has been fueled by population growth and increasing consumption [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":13052,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1862],"tags":[4873,4863,4874,3102,3402,724],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13058"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/44"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13058"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13058\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13059,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13058\/revisions\/13059"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13052"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13058"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13058"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13058"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}