{"id":14032,"date":"2018-10-22T03:34:58","date_gmt":"2018-10-22T03:34:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/?p=14032"},"modified":"2018-10-23T03:37:20","modified_gmt":"2018-10-23T03:37:20","slug":"helping-farmers-in-distress-doesnt-help-them-be-the-best-the-drought-relief-dilemma","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/helping-farmers-in-distress-doesnt-help-them-be-the-best-the-drought-relief-dilemma\/","title":{"rendered":"Helping farmers in distress doesn&#8217;t help them be the best: the drought relief dilemma"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/neal-hughes-360453\">Neal Hughes<\/a>, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/australian-bureau-of-agricultural-and-resource-economics-and-sciences-abares-3697\">Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES)<\/a><\/em> and <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/steve-hatfield-dodds-202833\">Steve Hatfield-Dodds<\/a>, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/australian-bureau-of-agricultural-and-resource-economics-and-sciences-abares-3697\">Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES)<\/a><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Two years ago we were celebrating <a href=\"http:\/\/www.agriculture.gov.au\/abares\/news\/media-releases\/2017\/aus-farm-production-forecast-record\">just about the best year for farmers ever<\/a>. Now many farmers \u2013 particularly in New South Wales and southern Queensland \u2013 are in the grip of drought. <\/p>\n<p>It underlines just how variable the Australian climate can be.<\/p>\n<p>While attention is focused on responding to the current situation, it is important to also think long-term. In our rush to help, we need to make sure well-meaning responses don\u2019t do more harm than good.<\/p>\n<h2>The drought policy debate<\/h2>\n<p>The recent drought has stimulated much empathy for farmers from the media, governments and the public. Federal and state governments have committed hundreds of millions of dollars in farmer support. Private citizens and companies have also given generously to the cause.<\/p>\n<p>While there appears to be overwhelming public support for helping farmers through drought, concerns have been raised by <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/drought-is-inevitable-mr-joyce-101444\">economists<\/a> as well as <a href=\"http:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/rural\/2018-08-30\/farmers-call-for-drought-policy-reform\/10183792\">farmer representatives<\/a> \u2013 including both <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2018\/aug\/28\/drought-policy-must-reflect-climate-change-says-former-farmers-chief\">the former<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.farmonline.com.au\/story\/5535911\/farmers-dont-want-drought-handout\/\">current head<\/a> of the National Farmers\u2019 Federation. <\/p>\n<p>A central concern is that drought support could undermine farmer preparedness for future droughts and longer-term adaptation to climate change.<\/p>\n<p>Another concern is that simplistic \u201cfarmer as a victim\u201d narrative presented by parts of the media overstate the number of farmers suffering hardship and understates the truth that most prepare for and manage drought without assistance. <\/p>\n<p>Sensationalist media coverage can also damage Australia\u2019s reputation as a reliable food producer. Images of barren landscapes, stressed livestock and desperate farmers send the wrong signals to customers and trading partners. <\/p>\n<h2>An acute policy dilemma<\/h2>\n<p>The tension in drought policy is real. <\/p>\n<p>To remain internationally competitive Australian farmers need to increase their productivity. <\/p>\n<p>Agricultural productivity depends on two main factors. First, innovation \u2013 adopting new technologies and management practices. Second, <a href=\"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/abs\/10.1111\/1467-8489.12137\">structural adjustment<\/a> \u2013 shifting resources towards the most productive sectors and most efficient farmers.<\/p>\n<p>Supporting drought-affected farms has the potential to slow both these processes, weakening productivity growth.<\/p>\n<p>This gives rise to an acute dilemma: should we support farmers in distress, or support the industry to be the best it can be?<\/p>\n<hr>\n<p>\n  <em><br \/>\n    <strong><br \/>\n      Read more:<br \/>\n      <a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\/to-help-drought-affected-farmers-we-need-to-support-them-in-good-times-as-well-as-bad-101184\">To help drought-affected farmers, we need to support them in good times as well as bad<\/a><br \/>\n    <\/strong><br \/>\n  <\/em>\n<\/p>\n<hr>\n<h2>Factoring in climate change<\/h2>\n<p>While it is difficult to attribute any specific event <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/is-australias-current-drought-caused-by-climate-change-its-complicated-97867\">to climate change<\/a>, it is clear Australia\u2019s climate is changing, with significant consequences for agriculture.<\/p>\n<p>Australian average temperatures have <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bom.gov.au\/state-of-the-climate\/State-of-the-Climate-2016.pdf\">increased by about 1\u2103 since 1950<\/a>.  Extreme heat events have become more frequent and intense. Recent decades show a trend towards <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/droughts-and-flooding-rains-what-is-due-to-climate-change-6524\">lower average winter rainfall<\/a> in the southwest and southeast.<\/p>\n<p>Research by the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences shows climate change has <a href=\"http:\/\/www.agriculture.gov.au\/abares\/research-topics\/climate\/farm-performance-climate\">negatively affected the productivity<\/a> of cropping farms, particularly in southern Australia. <\/p>\n<p>This research also shows <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/australian-farmers-are-adapting-to-climate-change-76939\">evidence of farmers adapting<\/a> to maintain productivity and reduce their sensitivity to climate.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/dbKqj\/2\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" allowtransparency=\"true\" width=\"100%\" height=\"400\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<figure class=\"align-center zoomable\">\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/169422\/original\/file-20170516-7009-16srh7.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip\"><img alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/169422\/original\/file-20170516-7009-16srh7.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\"><\/a><figcaption>\n              <span class=\"caption\">Key southwestern and southeastern agricultural zones have been especially impacted by climate change.<\/span><br \/>\n              <span class=\"attribution\"><span class=\"source\">ABARES<\/span><\/span><br \/>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<hr>\n<p>There is still much uncertainty over what climate change will mean for agriculture in the future. <\/p>\n<p>However, the evidence we do have points to <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/why-2-of-global-warming-is-much-worse-for-australia-than-1-5-77548\">more frequent and more severe droughts<\/a>, if only because of <a href=\"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1023%2FB%3ACLIM.0000018515.46344.6d\">higher temperatures and evaporation rates<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>Farming isn\u2019t like other industries<\/h2>\n<p>Although businesses in other industries are expected to manage risk without assistance, agriculture has some special aspects that help build a case for a government policy response.<\/p>\n<p>First, risk in agriculture is generally <a href=\"https:\/\/ideas.repec.org\/p\/ags\/aare12\/124202.html\">greater than in other industries<\/a>. Farmers are vulnerable to variation in international commodity prices as well as droughts and other extreme events.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/yeSqZ\/3\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" allowtransparency=\"true\" width=\"100%\" height=\"311\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p>Second, most farm businesses are also farm households. <\/p>\n<p>While many other risky industries are made up of large corporate businesses (generally with diversified assets and ownership), agriculture is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.agriculture.gov.au\/abares\/news\/media-releases\/2016\/family-farms\">dominated by family farms<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Third, financial markets both in Australia and internationally struggle to provide viable risk management products for farmers \u2013 particularly drought insurance. <\/p>\n<p>This means farming is an unusually risky business. Farmers must therefore be more conservative about financing and operating their businesses, which constrains investment, innovation and ultimately productivity.<\/p>\n<h2>Helping farms without making things worse<\/h2>\n<p>In 2008 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pc.gov.au\/inquiries\/completed\/drought\">a Productivity Commission review<\/a> recommended a national farm income support scheme. <\/p>\n<p>This led to the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.agriculture.gov.au\/ag-farm-food\/drought\/assistance\/farm-household-allowance\">Farm Household Allowance<\/a> program. <\/p>\n<p>It provides a fortnightly payment, usually set at the rate of the Newstart unemployment allowance. There is also a financial assessment of the farm business and funding to help develop skills or get professional advice.<\/p>\n<p>Those welfare programs provide an important safety net for farm households. Because they provide targeted support to households, rather than businesses, they result in fewer economic distortions than alternative approaches. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pc.gov.au\/inquiries\/completed\/drought\">Past reviews<\/a> have consistently recommended against subsidising farm business inputs or supporting output prices. This includes providing subsidies for livestock feed. <\/p>\n<p>While these measures might provide short term relief, if they become routine they risk weakening the incentives to manage farms properly, by for instance destocking sheep and cattle ahead of likely droughts.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<p>\n  <em><br \/>\n    <strong><br \/>\n      Read more:<br \/>\n      <a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\/drought-is-inevitable-mr-joyce-101444\">Drought is inevitable, Mr Joyce<\/a><br \/>\n    <\/strong><br \/>\n  <\/em>\n<\/p>\n<hr>\n<p>Looking to the future, it is possible insurance could have an important role to play. <\/p>\n<p>While drought insurance has <a href=\"http:\/\/www.agriculture.gov.au\/SiteCollectionDocuments\/ag-food\/drought\/ec\/nrac\/work-prog\/abares-report\/abares-report-insurance-options.pdf\">failed to thrive in Australia to date<\/a>, advances in data could allow more viable forms of insurance to emerge. <\/p>\n<p>In particular, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.agriculture.gov.au\/ag-farm-food\/drought\/assistance\/mfrp\/agricultural-insurance-feasibility\">index-based insurance products<\/a> where payouts are based on weather data rather than an assessment of farm damages. <\/p>\n<p>Such insurance, if done well, could provide farmers with better protection from climate risk, while also supporting adaptation and productivity growth \u2013 effectively sidestepping our current drought policy dilemma.<!-- Below is The Conversation's page counter tag. Please DO NOT REMOVE. --><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/counter.theconversation.com\/content\/105281\/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic\" alt=\"The Conversation\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" style=\"border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important\" \/><!-- End of code. If you don't see any code above, please get new code from the Advanced tab after you click the republish button. The page counter does not collect any personal data. More info: http:\/\/theconversation.com\/republishing-guidelines --><\/p>\n<p><span><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/neal-hughes-360453\">Neal Hughes<\/a>, Senior Economist, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/australian-bureau-of-agricultural-and-resource-economics-and-sciences-abares-3697\">Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES)<\/a><\/em> and <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/steve-hatfield-dodds-202833\">Steve Hatfield-Dodds<\/a>, Executive Director, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/australian-bureau-of-agricultural-and-resource-economics-and-sciences-abares-3697\">Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES)<\/a><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p>This article is republished from <a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/helping-farmers-in-distress-doesnt-help-them-be-the-best-the-drought-relief-dilemma-105281\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Neal Hughes, Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) and Steve Hatfield-Dodds, Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) Two years ago we were celebrating just about the best year for farmers ever. Now many farmers \u2013 particularly in New South Wales and southern Queensland \u2013 are in the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":14028,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[277],"tags":[216,139,4879],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14032"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/44"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14032"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14032\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14033,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14032\/revisions\/14033"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14028"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14032"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14032"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14032"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}