{"id":15010,"date":"2019-01-16T02:17:50","date_gmt":"2019-01-16T02:17:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/?p=15010"},"modified":"2019-01-17T05:17:10","modified_gmt":"2019-01-17T05:17:10","slug":"brexit-an-escape-room-with-no-escape","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/brexit-an-escape-room-with-no-escape\/","title":{"rendered":"Brexit: An \u2018escape room\u2019 with no escape"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/terrence-guay-158340\">Terrence Guay<\/a>, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/pennsylvania-state-university-1258\">Pennsylvania State University<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Brexit is beginning to look a lot like an \u201cescape room\u201d with no exit.<\/p>\n<p>An <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2018\/04\/11\/business\/escape-room-small-business.html\">escape room<\/a> is an increasingly popular adventure game that requires participants to solve a series of puzzles before they can leave the room and advance into another one with additional riddles.<\/p>\n<p>Brexit now seems to be a riddle that can\u2019t be solved, after U.K. <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/theresa-may-brexit-deal-hammered-in-parliament-but-be-wary-of-prospects-of-a-new-consensus-approach-109930\">lawmakers voted down<\/a> Prime Minister Theresa May\u2019s plan to leave the European Union. This means there\u2019s no way to \u201cwin,\u201d yet no clear way to end the game that began with a 2016 referendum.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s bad news for the British. But based on <a href=\"https:\/\/directory.smeal.psu.edu\/trg12\">my research on international business<\/a>, that\u2019s bad news for U.S. businesses and the \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2018\/07\/11\/is-the-us-uk-special-relationship-still-special.html\">special relationship<\/a>\u201d between the two countries as well.<\/p>\n<p>This decades-long relationship, based on common values and similar views on global issues, <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/the-love-is-lost-why-its-time-to-drop-the-romance-from-the-special-relationship-72025\">has been weakened<\/a> by <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/trumps-visit-has-thrown-the-special-relationship-into-unprecedented-turmoil-99481\">President Donald Trump<\/a> and will deteriorate further without a post-Brexit plan.<\/p>\n<h2>The Brexit puzzle<\/h2>\n<p>The first escape room was relatively easy to solve, consisting of just one puzzle: leave or remain.<\/p>\n<p>In June 2016, British citizens <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/what-explains-britains-brexit-shocker-61620\">narrowly voted<\/a> to exit the union it joined in 1973, which moved the U.K. into the next room.<\/p>\n<p>The second one was more complicated, since it required the U.K. to resolve domestic divisions over Brexit. Citizens who wished to remain \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/uk-politics-36616028\">majorities in London, Scotland and Northern Island<\/a> \u2013 refused to participate in the game any further, other than to <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/would-a-second-referendum-deliver-a-vote-to-remain-what-polling-tells-us-109157\">urge fellow players<\/a> to return to the first room and answer that puzzle differently by holding another referendum.<\/p>\n<p>The remaining participants, specifically the majority Conservative Party led by May, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2018\/nov\/27\/tory-divisions-the-factions-preparing-for-fall-of-theresa-mays-brexit-deal\">started fighting among themselves<\/a> while trying to solve the puzzle of what the U.K. wanted from Brexit.<\/p>\n<p>This room took the longest time to leave \u2013 over two years \u2013 since it required specific and lengthy negotiations on the terms of Brexit with the EU. Having reached an agreement, the prime minister <a href=\"https:\/\/www.standard.co.uk\/news\/politics\/theresa-may-eu-brexit-deal-key-points-withdrawal-agreement-a4038526.html\">stumbled out of this room<\/a> in November with her supporters and presented the plan to Parliament.<\/p>\n<h2>No road map for US business<\/h2>\n<p>That plan went down in a stunning defeat on Jan. 15 \u2013 May lost 432-202 in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2019\/jan\/15\/theresa-may-loses-brexit-deal-vote-by-majority-of-230\">biggest upset in parliamentary history<\/a> \u2013 putting the U.K. in uncharted territory.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2019\/01\/16\/brexit-labour-party-wants-general-election-but-2nd-referendum-likely.html\">are pushing for new elections<\/a> or another referendum \u2013 back to the first room \u2013 while May\u2019s own party is discussing ways for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/voices\/brexit-vote-theresa-may-ed-davey-confidence-final-say-people-vote-a8729356.html\">Parliament to take control of Brexit<\/a>. And the EU says the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2019-01-15\/eu-expresses-horror-at-brexit-vote-but-refuses-to-reopen-deal\">deal cannot be renegotiated<\/a> before the March 29 deadline.<\/p>\n<p>Back in June 2016, before the referendum, I explained <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/love-it-or-leave-it-why-the-uks-brexit-vote-should-matter-to-americans-60835\">why Americans should care<\/a> about the vote\u2019s outcome, in part because Brexit would hurt U.S.-U.K. trade and investment.<br \/>\nBut it is clear to me now that the impact will extend beyond business to the essence of the \u201cspecial relationship\u201d between the two countries.<\/p>\n<p>U.S. companies <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pwc.co.uk\/the-eu-referendum.html\">still have no road map<\/a> for how to proceed. <a href=\"https:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2018\/09\/20\/news\/economy\/brexit-blind-uncertainty\/index.html\">Uncertainty reigns<\/a> on tariffs, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/2018\/12\/06\/brexit-uncertainty-poses-substantial-market-impact-us-regulator\">regulations<\/a>, whether to locate staff in the U.K. versus Europe and countless more business-related issues.<\/p>\n<p>Business hates uncertainty. Foreign investment in the U.K. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2018\/11\/01\/brexit-could-cause-serious-damage-for-foreign-investment-into-the-uk-new-study-says.html\">has already dropped 19 percent<\/a> over the past two years as companies have been wary to invest in or expand their operations. Banks and other American companies <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2018-12-13\/on-the-eve-of-brexit-u-s-banks-are-set-to-conquer-europe\">seem more interested in closer ties<\/a> to the EU\u2019s single market than doing business in the U.K.<\/p>\n<p>This disinvestment is likely to accelerate following the failed vote in Parliament. Sadly, it looks like Brexit is a game without a winner or, at this point, any obvious way of quitting.<!-- Below is The Conversation's page counter tag. Please DO NOT REMOVE. --><img loading=\"lazy\" style=\"border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;\" src=\"https:\/\/counter.theconversation.com\/content\/109935\/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic\" alt=\"The Conversation\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" \/><!-- End of code. If you don't see any code above, please get new code from the Advanced tab after you click the republish button. The page counter does not collect any personal data. More info: http:\/\/theconversation.com\/republishing-guidelines --><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/terrence-guay-158340\">Terrence Guay<\/a>, Clinical Professor of International Business, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/pennsylvania-state-university-1258\">Pennsylvania State University<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>This article is republished from <a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/brexit-an-escape-room-with-no-escape-109935\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Terrence Guay, Pennsylvania State University Brexit is beginning to look a lot like an \u201cescape room\u201d with no exit. An escape room is an increasingly popular adventure game that requires participants to solve a series of puzzles before they can leave the room and advance into another one with additional riddles. Brexit now seems to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":15009,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[277],"tags":[720,5752,2056,204,349,715,13,2197,5751,765,717],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15010"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/44"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15010"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15010\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15014,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15010\/revisions\/15014"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15009"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15010"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15010"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15010"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}