{"id":18539,"date":"2019-11-09T02:37:27","date_gmt":"2019-11-09T02:37:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/?p=18539"},"modified":"2019-11-10T12:39:26","modified_gmt":"2019-11-10T12:39:26","slug":"how-do-we-know-when-a-species-at-risk-has-recovered-its-not-just-a-matter-of-numbers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/how-do-we-know-when-a-species-at-risk-has-recovered-its-not-just-a-matter-of-numbers\/","title":{"rendered":"How do we know when a species at risk has recovered? It&#8217;s not just a matter of numbers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/h-resit-akcakaya-751707\">H. Resit Akcakaya<\/a>, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/stony-brook-university-the-state-university-of-new-york-1452\">Stony Brook University (The State University of New York)<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Around the world, animals and plants are disappearing at alarming rates. In May 2019, a major U.N. report warned that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.un.org\/sustainabledevelopment\/blog\/2019\/05\/nature-decline-unprecedented-report\/\">around one million species<\/a> were at risk of extinction \u2013 more than at any other time in human history.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/scholar.google.com\/citations?hl=en&amp;user=RMg7RqkAAAAJ\">Conservation scientists like me<\/a> focus on predicting and preventing extinctions. But we see that as an essential first step, not a final goal. Ultimately, we want species to recover.<\/p>\n<p>The challenge is that while extinction is easy to define, recovery is not. Until recently, there was no general definition of a \u201crecovered\u201d species. As a result, some species recovery plans are much less ambitious than others, and scientists don\u2019t have a common yardstick for recognizing conservation successes.<\/p>\n<p>To address this challenge, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iucn.org\/\">International Union for the Conservation of Nature<\/a>\u2019s Species Survival Commission \u2013 the world\u2019s largest network of conservationists \u2013 is developing a <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/cobi.13112\">Green List of Species<\/a> to highlight species recovery. This tool will complement the well-known <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iucnredlist.org\/\">Red List<\/a>, which highlights endangered species.<\/p>\n<p>While the Red List focuses on extinction risk, the Green List will measure recovery and conservation success. As a member of the team charged with making the Green List a practical conservation tool, I see it as a way of measuring the impact of conservation and communicating conservation success stories, as well as learning from failures.<\/p>\n<div data-react-class=\"Tweet\" data-react-props=\"{&quot;tweetId&quot;:&quot;1092304847544582145&quot;}\"><\/div>\n<h2>Defining recovery<\/h2>\n<p>To know how much conservation has accomplished, and to encourage ambitious conservation goals, we need an objective way to measure progress toward a species\u2019 recovery. Studies of recovery plans developed under the U.S. Endangered Species Act show that some plans consider a species recovered even if its population <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1525\/bio.2012.62.7.7\">remains the same or shrinks<\/a> during the recovery effort. A standard definition of recovery would prevent such inconsistencies and encourage wildlife managers to aim higher.<\/p>\n<p>Conservation scientists have long attempted to identify <a href=\"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/bioscience\/article\/61\/1\/39\/304461\">different facets of species recovery<\/a>. Reviewing these efforts, our team came up with several requirements for considering a species fully recovered.<\/p>\n<p>As I explain with an international group of colleagues in a new study, one key idea is that populations of the species <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/cobi.13425\">should be \u201cfunctional<\/a>.\u201d By this we mean that they are able to perform all the roles that the species is known to play in ecosystems where it exists. This may seem like an obvious measurement, but in fact, some species that are considered to be \u201crecovered\u201d in the U.S. fail this test.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"align-center zoomable\"><a href=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300163\/original\/file-20191104-88403-183y3eg.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip\"><img src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300163\/original\/file-20191104-88403-183y3eg.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" sizes=\"(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300163\/original\/file-20191104-88403-183y3eg.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=450&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 600w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300163\/original\/file-20191104-88403-183y3eg.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=450&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1200w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300163\/original\/file-20191104-88403-183y3eg.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=450&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 1800w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300163\/original\/file-20191104-88403-183y3eg.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=566&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 754w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300163\/original\/file-20191104-88403-183y3eg.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=566&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1508w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300163\/original\/file-20191104-88403-183y3eg.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=566&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 2262w\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">The Kirtland\u2019s Warbler was declared recovered in the U.S. in 2019, but will still rely on land managers to maintain stands of jack pine where it nests and control parasitic cowbirds that prey on it.<\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"attribution\"><a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/flic.kr\/p\/bhwYUZ\">Joel Trick\/USFWS<\/a>, <a class=\"license\" href=\"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/\">CC BY<\/a><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>What\u2019s your function?<\/h2>\n<p>Each species has many kinds of ecological functions. For example, bees help plants reproduce by <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/beyond-honey-bees-wild-bees-are-also-key-pollinators-and-some-species-are-disappearing-89214\">pollinating them<\/a>. When birds and bats eat fruits and later <a href=\"https:\/\/www.britannica.com\/topic\/animal-dispersal-in-rainforests-1673040\">excrete the seeds<\/a>, they help forests regenerate.<\/p>\n<p>Similarly, when salmon swim upstream to spawn and then are consumed by bears and other predators, that process <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/as-a-warming-climate-changes-kodiak-bears-diets-impacts-could-ripple-through-ecosystems-83131\">moves essential nutrients<\/a> from the oceans up into rivers and forests. And when flammable grasses burn in the U.S. Southeast, they fuel fires that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fs.usda.gov\/treesearch\/pubs\/1179\">maintain longleaf pine forests<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>All these critical functions are possible only when enough members of the key species are present. Put another way, keeping a species alive is not enough \u2013 it also is essential to keep its functions from going extinct.<\/p>\n<figure><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/MPFhOcnPnc8?wmode=transparent&amp;start=0\" width=\"440\" height=\"260\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">Reintroducing wolves to Yellowstone National Park has spotlighted the wolves\u2019 ecological functions as regulators of grazing species. However, wolves once influenced much larger areas than they currently occupy.<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Functional extinction<\/h2>\n<p>Scientists have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.researchgate.net\/publication\/201998547_The_deflowering_of_Central_America\">known for decades<\/a> that species may persist at such low numbers that they do not fulfill the ecological roles they used to perform. This can be true even if significant numbers of animals or plants are present.<\/p>\n<p>One example is the American Bison, which is a great conservation success story in terms of preventing its extinction. Hunting reduced bison to just a few hundred individuals in western states at the end of the 19th century, but <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/bison-are-back-and-that-benefits-many-other-species-on-the-great-plains-107588\">conservation initiatives have restored them<\/a> to public, private and Native American lands across the West.<\/p>\n<p>Today bison <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iucnredlist.org\/species\/2815\/123789863\">do not appear to be at risk of extinction<\/a>. However, they occupy <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/j.1523-1739.2008.00899.x\">less than 1% of their historical range<\/a>, and most of the roughly 500,000 animals that exist today are raised for commercial purposes. Fewer than 20,000 bison live in conservation herds \u2013 a small fraction of their pre-Columbian population, which totaled <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iucn.org\/content\/american-bison-status-survey-and-conservation-guidelines-2010\">millions or tens of millions<\/a>.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"align-center zoomable\"><a href=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300159\/original\/file-20191104-88368-1s75l06.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip\"><img src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300159\/original\/file-20191104-88368-1s75l06.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" sizes=\"(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300159\/original\/file-20191104-88368-1s75l06.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=149&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 600w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300159\/original\/file-20191104-88368-1s75l06.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=149&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1200w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300159\/original\/file-20191104-88368-1s75l06.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=149&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 1800w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300159\/original\/file-20191104-88368-1s75l06.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=187&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 754w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300159\/original\/file-20191104-88368-1s75l06.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=187&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1508w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300159\/original\/file-20191104-88368-1s75l06.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=187&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 2262w\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">Current IUCN classification for American bison.<\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"attribution\"><a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/www.iucnredlist.org\/species\/2815\/123789863\">IUCN<\/a>, <a class=\"license\" href=\"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nd\/4.0\/\">CC BY-ND<\/a><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Before they were reduced to near-extinction, bison <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/j.1523-1739.2008.00899.x\">shaped prairie habitats and landscapes<\/a> through wallowing, pounding and grazing. They influenced ecosystems by converting vegetation into protein biomass for predators, including people, and by redistributing nutrients in these ecosystems.<\/p>\n<p>Even though bison are not at risk of extinction, for the purposes of their contributions to the ecosystems and landscapes they once inhabited, I believe the species should be considered to be functionally extinct and not a fully recovered species.<\/p>\n<p>This does not mean its conservation is a failure. To the contrary, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/cobi.13112\">new conservation metrics<\/a> that I and other scientists have proposed for the Green List, the bison would receive high scores on several counts, including Conservation Legacy \u2013 meaning it has benefited significantly from past protective efforts \u2013 and Conservation Gain, or potential to respond positively to further initiatives.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"align-center zoomable\"><a href=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300164\/original\/file-20191104-88378-7od1rc.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip\"><img src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300164\/original\/file-20191104-88378-7od1rc.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" sizes=\"(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300164\/original\/file-20191104-88378-7od1rc.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=395&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 600w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300164\/original\/file-20191104-88378-7od1rc.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=395&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1200w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300164\/original\/file-20191104-88378-7od1rc.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=395&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 1800w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300164\/original\/file-20191104-88378-7od1rc.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=496&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 754w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300164\/original\/file-20191104-88378-7od1rc.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=496&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1508w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/300164\/original\/file-20191104-88378-7od1rc.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=496&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 2262w\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">Ospreys are efficient hunters that help to regulate fish populations.<\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"attribution\"><a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/flic.kr\/p\/2fBHyg6\">Tracie Hall<\/a>, <a class=\"license\" href=\"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-sa\/4.0\/\">CC BY-SA<\/a><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>A full recovery<\/h2>\n<p>For contrast, consider another species widely viewed as a conservation success story: <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/ospreys-recovery-from-pollution-and-shooting-is-a-global-conservation-success-story-111907\">The osprey<\/a>. Populations of this fish-eating bird of prey crashed across North America in the 1950s to 1970s, primarily due to poisoning from the insecticide DDT and its derivatives.<\/p>\n<p>Conservation efforts since then, including a federal ban on DDT and provision of nesting structures, have resulted in a <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3356\/JRR-OSPR-14-04.1\">dramatic recovery<\/a>, back to population levels before the declines. Actually, many U.S. and Canadian populations of Osprey <a href=\"https:\/\/birdsna.org\/Species-Account\/bna\/species\/osprey\/introduction\">now exceed historical numbers<\/a>. Under the Green List criteria we are proposing, this species would now be considered ecologically functional in most if not all parts of its range.<\/p>\n<h2>Ambitious goals<\/h2>\n<p>Conservation scientists have long considered a species\u2019 influence on others and on the ecosystems it inhabits to be a fundamental aspect of its essence and its intrinsic value. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iucn.org\/species\/about\/species-survival-commission\/ssc-leadership-and-steering-committee\/iucn-red-list-committee\/iucn-green-list-species\">Green List of Species initiative<\/a> seeks to go beyond simply preventing extinctions to defining recovered species as those that are ecologically functional across their natural ranges. This new focus aims to encourage conservation optimism by highlighting success stories and showing that with help, species once at risk can reclaim their places in the web of life.<\/p>\n<p>[ <em>Deep knowledge, daily.<\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/us\/newsletters?utm_source=TCUS&amp;utm_medium=inline-link&amp;utm_campaign=newsletter-text&amp;utm_content=deepknowledge\">Sign up for The Conversation\u2019s newsletter<\/a>. ]<!-- Below is The Conversation's page counter tag. Please DO NOT REMOVE. --><img loading=\"lazy\" style=\"border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;\" src=\"https:\/\/counter.theconversation.com\/content\/125534\/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic\" alt=\"The Conversation\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" \/><!-- End of code. If you don't see any code above, please get new code from the Advanced tab after you click the republish button. The page counter does not collect any personal data. More info: http:\/\/theconversation.com\/republishing-guidelines --><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/h-resit-akcakaya-751707\">H. Resit Akcakaya<\/a>, Professor of Ecology and Evolution, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/stony-brook-university-the-state-university-of-new-york-1452\">Stony Brook University (The State University of New York)<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>This article is republished from <a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/how-do-we-know-when-a-species-at-risk-has-recovered-its-not-just-a-matter-of-numbers-125534\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>H. Resit Akcakaya, Stony Brook University (The State University of New York) Around the world, animals and plants are disappearing at alarming rates. In May 2019, a major U.N. report warned that around one million species were at risk of extinction \u2013 more than at any other time in human history. Conservation scientists like me [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":18533,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1862],"tags":[175,1939,5781,752,584,6197,2333,2408,2410,7219,186,573],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18539"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/44"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18539"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18539\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18544,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18539\/revisions\/18544"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/18533"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18539"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18539"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18539"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}