{"id":18909,"date":"2019-12-13T00:26:12","date_gmt":"2019-12-13T00:26:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/?p=18909"},"modified":"2019-12-14T05:16:33","modified_gmt":"2019-12-14T05:16:33","slug":"us-china-trade-deal-3-fundamental-issues-remain-unresolved","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/us-china-trade-deal-3-fundamental-issues-remain-unresolved\/","title":{"rendered":"US-China trade deal: 3 fundamental issues remain unresolved"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/penelope-b-prime-248044\">Penelope B. Prime<\/a>, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/georgia-state-university-957\">Georgia State University<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>The U.S. and China <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/china-offers-no-confirmation-on-u-s-trade-deal-11576234325\">have reportedly reached<\/a> a so-called phase one deal in their ongoing trade war.<\/p>\n<p>While few details have been disclosed, the agreement principally seems to involve the U.S. calling off a new round of tariffs that were slated to take effect on Dec. 15 and removing others already in place in exchange for more Chinese purchases of U.S. farm products.<\/p>\n<p>Good news, right? The end of the trade war is nigh? Don\u2019t get your hopes up.<\/p>\n<p>While business leaders in both countries will be temporarily relieved, the underlying tensions between them will not end easily.<\/p>\n<p>As an <a href=\"https:\/\/scholar.google.com\/citations?user=2ZSlHs4AAAAJ&amp;hl=en&amp;oi=ao\">economist who closely studies the U.S. relationship with China<\/a>, I believe there are fundamental issues that won\u2019t be resolved anytime soon.<\/p>\n<h2>Doing it in phases<\/h2>\n<p>Tariffs and other trade issues have received most of the attention during the trade war, but the more fundamental \u2013 and difficult \u2013 challenges are with lax intellectual property protection and China\u2019s industrial policy.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/briefings-statements\/statement-president-regarding-trade-china-2\/\">U.S. is unhappy with China\u2019s use<\/a> of these tools to develop its economy, and to help its companies compete \u2013 unfairly, from the U.S. perspective. And many of the Trump administration\u2019s demands challenge China\u2019s normal business and policy practices.<\/p>\n<p>China\u2019s leaders can\u2019t be seen by Chinese citizens as giving into the U.S., while Trump wants to show that he is tough on China ahead of his reelection. This makes the negotiations very sensitive on both sides.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s why American and Chinese negotiators, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.china-briefing.com\/news\/the-us-china-trade-war-a-timeline\/\">who have been engaged<\/a> in talks for almost two years, decided to try to get to an agreement in phases.<\/p>\n<p>Phase one has focused on the trade balance and tariffs. Phase two is expected to then deal more deeply with intellectual property enforcement and economic reform in China.<\/p>\n<p>Given the negotiations have gone on so long with fairly little to show for it, it\u2019s fair to ask, why are these issues so difficult to resolve? I believe there are basically three issues that have made finding any common ground difficult \u2013 and phase one won\u2019t change that.<\/p>\n<h2>Government subsidies<\/h2>\n<p>First, China\u2019s successful growth has combined market competition with government-led industrial policy. For example, when China\u2019s leaders decided the economy needed more innovation, <a href=\"https:\/\/chinapower.csis.org\/patents\/\">it created incentives and targets<\/a> for companies and research institutes to create patents. The number of patents filed has soared as a result.<\/p>\n<p>A wide range of government subsidies is used to direct and assist private as well as state investment in similar ways.<\/p>\n<p>The U.S. does this as well but not on the same scale, and therefore <a href=\"https:\/\/www.uscc.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/2019-11\/2019%20Annual%20Report%20to%20Congress.pdf\">views it<\/a> as unfair.<\/p>\n<p>From China\u2019s perspective, however, it is not reasonable for the U.S. to require China to change its development model in exchange for removing tariffs.<\/p>\n<h2>Protecting intellectual property<\/h2>\n<p>Getting China to do more to protect the intellectual property of new technologies is another especially thorny issue.<\/p>\n<p>Both countries are facing economic challenges that can be aided by improved technology. But since in many areas Chinese capabilities have caught up with those of the U.S., or are being rapidly developed, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/business\/2019\/10\/26\/trump-administration-considers-blacklisting-chinese-companies-that-repeatedly-steal-us-intellectual-property\/\">there is much more pressure<\/a> from the U.S. for China to accept global norms on intellectual property rights.<\/p>\n<p>Even while China\u2019s own IP protections <a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2019\/10\/16\/china-intellectual-property-theft-progress\/\">have improved<\/a> at home, there is ample evidence that Chinese companies have copied foreign technology without permission or payment, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.uscc.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/2019-11\/2019%20Annual%20Report%20to%20Congress.pdf\">despite China\u2019s acceptance<\/a> of IP protection as part of World Trade Organization membership.<\/p>\n<p>Foreign companies <a href=\"https:\/\/www.uscc.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/2019-11\/2019%20Annual%20Report%20to%20Congress.pdf\">also report being compelled<\/a> to share advanced technology in order to do business in China. While, technically, the companies can decide to pull out of China\u2019s market, the U.S. argues that this hurts the competitiveness of U.S. businesses. It either means they must lose their technological advantage or not have access to the business opportunities that China\u2019s large market offers.<\/p>\n<p>There is no reciprocal requirement of Chinese companies doing business in the U.S.<\/p>\n<h2>Military concerns<\/h2>\n<p>Finally, technology capabilities are related to growing military concerns.<\/p>\n<p>Many of the advanced technologies that China is racing to obtain have military as well as civilian uses. U.S. policy under the current administration <a href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/briefings-statements\/remarks-vice-president-pence-frederic-v-malek-memorial-lecture\/\">has indicated a wariness<\/a> about China\u2019s military intentions and is considering options.<\/p>\n<p>This wariness <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/articles\/china\/china-plan-rule-asia\">has been bolstered<\/a> by China\u2019s military buildup, especially naval capabilities in Asia. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hudson.org\/experts\/724-michael-pillsbury\">Some advisers<\/a> to the Trump administration argue that China\u2019s ultimate long-term goal is to replace the U.S. as the dominant global power.<\/p>\n<h2>China\u2019s rise<\/h2>\n<p>Differences in the U.S. and China\u2019s economic systems were less of a problem so long as Chinese companies lagged far behind their American counterparts in terms of technology and competitiveness.<\/p>\n<p>As China has grown more technologically advanced, its relationship with the U.S. has come under increasing strain. This will only get worst as China\u2019s economy develops and its companies compete more with the U.S. and others. The different approaches will continue to create conflict.<\/p>\n<p>Chinese leaders are weighing how much good relations with the U.S. will matter to their future. Their answer will help determine how much they are willing to meet U.S. demands.<\/p>\n<p>[ <em>Deep knowledge, daily.<\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/us\/newsletters?utm_source=TCUS&amp;utm_medium=inline-link&amp;utm_campaign=newsletter-text&amp;utm_content=deepknowledge\">Sign up for The Conversation\u2019s newsletter<\/a>. ]<!-- Below is The Conversation's page counter tag. Please DO NOT REMOVE. --><img loading=\"lazy\" style=\"border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;\" src=\"https:\/\/counter.theconversation.com\/content\/127505\/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic\" alt=\"The Conversation\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" \/><!-- End of code. If you don't see any code above, please get new code from the Advanced tab after you click the republish button. The page counter does not collect any personal data. More info: http:\/\/theconversation.com\/republishing-guidelines --><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/penelope-b-prime-248044\">Penelope B. Prime<\/a>, Clinical Professor of International Business, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/georgia-state-university-957\">Georgia State University<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>This article is republished from <a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/us-china-trade-deal-3-fundamental-issues-remain-unresolved-127505\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Penelope B. Prime, Georgia State University The U.S. and China have reportedly reached a so-called phase one deal in their ongoing trade war. While few details have been disclosed, the agreement principally seems to involve the U.S. calling off a new round of tariffs that were slated to take effect on Dec. 15 and removing [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":18910,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[5,277],"tags":[145,4348,7388,1011,7387,1558,7102],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18909"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/44"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18909"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18909\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18916,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18909\/revisions\/18916"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/18910"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18909"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18909"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18909"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}