{"id":22765,"date":"2020-11-12T07:51:03","date_gmt":"2020-11-12T07:51:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/?p=22765"},"modified":"2020-11-14T15:19:38","modified_gmt":"2020-11-14T15:19:38","slug":"well-see-more-fire-seasons-like-2020-heres-a-strategy-for-managing-our-nations-flammable-landscapes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/well-see-more-fire-seasons-like-2020-heres-a-strategy-for-managing-our-nations-flammable-landscapes\/","title":{"rendered":"We\u2019ll see more fire seasons like 2020 &#8211; here\u2019s a strategy for managing our nation\u2019s flammable landscapes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/jennifer-balch-1155006\">Jennifer Balch<\/a>, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-colorado-boulder-733\">University of Colorado Boulder<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>As of late fall, wildfires are still smoldering under snowfall in Colorado. I am hoping that the cold and snowy weather over the last few days will finally put to bed the 2020 fire season in my state. Through much of October, great pillars of smoke rose in the sky and ash rained down from at least four major fall wildfires, affecting millions in the urban corridors east of the Rocky Mountains.<\/p>\n<p>October wildfires are rare in Colorado, especially large ones that burn more than 1,000 acres. Only about a dozen that size have burned since 1984, out of 335 in the state over that period.<\/p>\n<p>This fall\u2019s major blazes are a signal of climate change in the here and now. And they\u2019re not the only such evidence in a <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/gcb.15388\">record hot and dry 2020 fire season<\/a>, where states across the West are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.capradio.org\/articles\/2020\/11\/04\/latest-updates-on-northern-california-wildfires\/\">still putting out hot spots and mopping up the blazes<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Wildfires have shaped the Earth for hundreds of millions of years and play key roles in many of its ecosystems. And humans have used fire for landscape management for millennia. But we are just starting to understand our <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/california-wildfires-signal-the-arrival-of-a-planetary-fire-age-1259720\">modern relationship with fire<\/a>. As a <a href=\"https:\/\/scholar.google.com\/citations?user=LyjuxcEAAAAJ&amp;hl=en\">fire scientist<\/a> based in the West, I see reason for hope. By making changes now, I believe that we can help shape the types of fire we live with in the future.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"align-center zoomable\"><a href=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/367838\/original\/file-20201105-14-b9mgxo.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip\"><img src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/367838\/original\/file-20201105-14-b9mgxo.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" sizes=\"(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/367838\/original\/file-20201105-14-b9mgxo.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=350&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 600w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/367838\/original\/file-20201105-14-b9mgxo.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=350&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1200w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/367838\/original\/file-20201105-14-b9mgxo.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=350&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 1800w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/367838\/original\/file-20201105-14-b9mgxo.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=439&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 754w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/367838\/original\/file-20201105-14-b9mgxo.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=439&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1508w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/367838\/original\/file-20201105-14-b9mgxo.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=439&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 2262w\" alt=\"Satellite photo of U.S. with western smoke plume blowing east\" \/><\/a><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">Smoke (brownish plume) from western wildfires (red dots) blows across the continental U.S. on Sept. 14, 2020.<\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"attribution\"><a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nasa.gov\/feature\/goddard\/2020\/western-us-smoke-from-fires-stretching-across-the-country\">NASA<\/a><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Pathways to living with more fire<\/h2>\n<p>More than 8.7 million acres \u2013 an area larger than the state of Maryland \u2013 have burned across the U.S. just in 2020. Tens of millions of people have suffered from the resulting <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/california-wildfires-pass-4-million-acres-burned-doubling-previous-record-thats-a-lot-of-toxic-smoke-147328\">toxic smoke<\/a>. Hundreds of thousands have been <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/wildfires-force-thousands-to-evacuate-near-los-angeles-heres-how-the-2020-western-fire-season-got-so-extreme-148804\">forced to evacuate<\/a> in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.oregonlive.com\/wildfires\/2020\/10\/oregon-wildfires-destroyed-more-than-4000-homes-heres-where.html\">Thousands of homes<\/a> have burned to the ground, and dozens of people have <a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/US\/west-coast-wildfires-25-dead-past-week-33\/story?id=729835270\">lost their lives<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The science is clear: Earth\u2019s warming climate has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/content\/113\/42\/11770\">doubled the area in western U.S. forests that has burned<\/a> since the 1980s. And this increase comes at a high price. The most devastating wildfires have caused <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncdc.noaa.gov\/billions\/events\/US\/1980-2020\">US$76 billion in damage since 1980<\/a>, with most of those losses occurring in the past 20 years. And the 2020 fire season isn\u2019t over yet.<\/p>\n<p>Fire is responding quickly to climate change, so humans need to respond faster. Based on my own research and work by others, here are six pathways that I believe will help the U.S. get ahead of its wildfire crisis.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Build better. Across the U.S., <a href=\"https:\/\/cires.colorado.edu\/news\/line-fire\">tens of millions of homes have been built in the wildland-urban interface<\/a>, where development runs up against forests, shrublands and grasslands. These communities need to retrofit flammable homes and <a href=\"https:\/\/headwaterseconomics.org\/wildfire\/homes-risk\/building-costs-codes\/\">build new ones that are fire-resistant<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Mapping zones where fire is likely in a changing climate is critical. Just as the Federal Emergency Management Agency produces <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fema.gov\/flood-maps\">maps of flood-prone areas<\/a>, the U.S. needs <a href=\"https:\/\/wildfirerisk.org\/\">national firescape maps<\/a>, coupled with national policies to guide development and insurance decisions.<\/p>\n<figure><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/DA8spJ1OrkM?wmode=transparent&amp;start=0\" width=\"440\" height=\"260\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">To catch up with increasingly frequent and intense wildfires, the U.S. needs more innovative ways of detecting, preventing and fighting fires.<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Congress passed an <a href=\"https:\/\/fas.org\/sgp\/crs\/misc\/R45696.pdf\">omnibus bill<\/a> in 2018 that mandated wildfire hazard potential mapping, but <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fs.fed.us\/rm\/pubs_series\/rmrs\/gtr\/rmrs_gtr392.pdf\">this effort<\/a> will require concerted scientific support and funding. The maps should incorporate how warming temperatures affect the likelihood of wildfires, and should tie into a national program that directs development out of harm\u2019s way.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Emphasize backyard management. Local communities and federal and state land management agencies should focus on reducing flammable trees and brush near where people live. Mechanical removal, raking and logging in the middle of the woods to reduce fire risk is way too expensive and <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.1617464114\">ineffective<\/a>. It would cost billions of dollars to <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/restoring-californias-forests-to-reduce-wildfire-risks-will-take-time-billions-of-dollars-and-a-broad-commitment-146532\">clean up 150 million dead trees in California<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>There\u2019s also a need for more research on how homes ignite and how fire <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41598-018-27215-5\">progresses through neighborhoods<\/a>. The U.S. has had <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nfpa.org\/About-NFPA\/NFPA-overview\/History-of-NFPA\">mandatory fire codes for over a century<\/a> to limit fires indoors and protect occupants. Today we need similar measures for outdoor areas around homes.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Bring Smokey Bear to the suburbs. Many human activities bring fire. Virtually all of the wildfires that threaten homes anywhere in the lower 48 states <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/fire3030050\">are started by human actions<\/a>, either deliberate or accidental.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>For decades the U.S. Forest Service\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fs.usda.gov\/features\/story-smokey-bear\">Smokey Bear public education campaign<\/a> taught Americans that \u201cOnly you can prevent forest fires.\u201d Today there\u2019s a need to raise awareness of how daily activities, from camping to setting off fireworks or operating yard equipment, can generate sparks. Power lines, which can blow over during extreme weather conditions and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/pge-caused-california-wildfires-safety-measures-2019-10\">start deadly wildfires<\/a>, should be a major focus.<\/p>\n<div data-react-class=\"Tweet\" data-react-props=\"{&quot;tweetId&quot;:&quot;1293194798346600448&quot;}\"><\/div>\n<ul>\n<li>Use fire to fight fire. Studies show that the U.S. is <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/fire2020030\">not setting enough prescribed fires<\/a> to reduce flammable materials on the ground, especially in western states.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The only federal agency that has been able to increase prescribed burning in the past two decades is the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bia.gov\/\">Bureau of Indian Affairs<\/a>. This may reflect growing recognition that Native American burning practices <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1186\/s42408-019-0030-3\">offer a model for fire-prone communities<\/a>. Science-informed policies to delineate when and where to implement prescribed burning could help agencies manage smoke more effectively and support ecosystem restoration.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Understand whom wildfires harm most. A 2018 study estimated that 12 million socially vulnerable Americans who are poorly equipped to respond to fire due to low incomes, language barriers or other factors live in areas where there is <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0205825\">substantial wildfire potential<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Further, people of color, based on majority Black, Hispanic or Native American census tracts, may be more vulnerable than others. This disparity makes it urgent to better pinpoint <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fs.usda.gov\/rds\/archive\/Catalog\/RDS-2020-0016\">whose lungs and homes are in harm\u2019s way<\/a>, who receives and acts on evacuation notices, and how well fuel treatments and firefighting protect the most vulnerable communities. Answering these questions would help to reduce disproportionate wildfire risks borne by vulnerable communities.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Stop fixating on \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/arielcohen\/2020\/09\/11\/the-age-of-the-megafire-is-upon-us\/?sh=25d8c4b89cab\">megafires<\/a>\u201d and \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2020\/10\/06\/us\/gigafire-california-august-complex-trnd\/index.html\">gigafires<\/a>.\u201d Big fires matter for smoke, small fires matter for homes and fast-moving fires matter for lives. There are better ways to delineate <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/d41586-020-02740-4\">why wildfires matter to society<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"UYBd5\" class=\"tc-infographic-datawrapper\" style=\"border: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/UYBd5\/1\/\" width=\"100%\" height=\"400px\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>New sources ranging from satellites to government records to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.researchgate.net\/profile\/Amanda_Hughes3\/publication\/343485694_'What_I_Need_to_Know_is_What_I_Don't_Know'_Filtering_Disaster_Twitter_Data_for_Information_from_Local_Individuals\/links\/5f2c735a92851cd302e4eaab\/What-I-Need-to-Know-is-What-I-Dont-Know-Filtering-Disaster-Twitter-Data-for-Information-from-Local-Individuals.pdf\">social media<\/a> are providing a wealth of opportunities to learn more about wildfire behavior and how it threatens people and affects ecosystems. These data could be linked with information on why fires are <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41597-020-0403-0\">becoming so costly, damaging and deadly<\/a>, leading to astronomical fire suppression budgets.<\/p>\n<p>[<em>Deep knowledge, daily.<\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/us\/newsletters\/the-daily-3?utm_source=TCUS&amp;utm_medium=inline-link&amp;utm_campaign=newsletter-text&amp;utm_content=deepknowledge\">Sign up for The Conversation\u2019s newsletter<\/a>.]<\/p>\n<p>The U.S. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usda.gov\/media\/press-releases\/2017\/09\/14\/forest-service-wildland-fire-suppression-costs-exceed-2-billion\">spends over $2 billion on average fighting wildfires every year<\/a>. I believe it\u2019s time to abandon our emergency response mindset and start investing in proactive measures to reduce risks. In my view, we will never get ahead of the threat without a better understanding of how to manage flammable landscapes and adapt to increasing wildfire threats.<!-- Below is The Conversation's page counter tag. Please DO NOT REMOVE. --><img loading=\"lazy\" style=\"border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;\" src=\"https:\/\/counter.theconversation.com\/content\/149323\/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic\" alt=\"The Conversation\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" \/><!-- End of code. If you don't see any code above, please get new code from the Advanced tab after you click the republish button. The page counter does not collect any personal data. More info: https:\/\/theconversation.com\/republishing-guidelines --><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/jennifer-balch-1155006\">Jennifer Balch<\/a>, Associate Professor of Geography and Director, Earth Lab, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-colorado-boulder-733\">University of Colorado Boulder<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>This article is republished from <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/well-see-more-fire-seasons-like-2020-heres-a-strategy-for-managing-our-nations-flammable-landscapes-149323\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jennifer Balch, University of Colorado Boulder As of late fall, wildfires are still smoldering under snowfall in Colorado. I am hoping that the cold and snowy weather over the last few days will finally put to bed the 2020 fire season in my state. Through much of October, great pillars of smoke rose in the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":22766,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1862],"tags":[8441,272,139,1907,8935,2198,865,3679,8936,2540,7256,2202],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22765"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/44"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22765"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22765\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22789,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22765\/revisions\/22789"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22766"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22765"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22765"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22765"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}