{"id":27757,"date":"2021-12-01T05:39:00","date_gmt":"2021-12-01T05:39:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/?p=27757"},"modified":"2021-12-04T05:06:00","modified_gmt":"2021-12-04T05:06:00","slug":"supreme-court-signals-shift-on-abortion-but-will-it-strike-down-roe-or-leave-it-to-states-to-decide-when-personhood-occurs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/supreme-court-signals-shift-on-abortion-but-will-it-strike-down-roe-or-leave-it-to-states-to-decide-when-personhood-occurs\/","title":{"rendered":"Supreme Court signals shift on abortion \u2013 but will it strike down Roe or leave it to states to decide when \u2018personhood\u2019 occurs?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Morgan Marietta<\/a>, University of Massachusetts Lowell<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Supreme Court justices signaled a potential major shift on abortion law <\/a>on Dec. 1, 2021. Hearing arguments in a case<\/a> that could fundamentally alter abortion rights and regulations throughout the nation, the six conservative justices who hold the majority in the highest court seemed divided: Would they overturn the core right to abortion entirely or would they allow abortion to be limited by the states to the early stages of pregnancy?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In either approach, the court seemed to be moving toward the position that some decisions may be left to individual states rather than established by the Supreme Court. And although Supreme Court decisions cannot always be predicted by oral arguments alone, either outcome would represent a historic move away from the landmark precedent of Roe v. Wade, which has set out Americans\u2019 constitutional right to abortion<\/a> for almost 50 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Since that 1973 decision, a powerful legal movement<\/a> has sought to overturn Roe v. Wade<\/a>, while abortion rights advocates have fought to protect it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The arguments at the court on Dec. 1 suggest that there is a third path the justices could \u2013 and might \u2013 take. The court could focus its ruling on a narrower and more neglected aspect of the ruling in Roe: the court\u2019s understanding of the facts of fetal personhood.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Roe not a monolith<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

There were two separate rulings in Roe:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1) The Constitution protects a right to privacy, which encompasses the abortion decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2) A fetus is not a person in the early stages of pregnancy. Personhood emerges around the time of viability at approximately six months, which justifies a compelling state interest at that point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is why individual states are forbidden under current rulings from outlawing abortions in the first or second trimester of pregnancy<\/a>, but can make the procedure illegal during the third trimester after the viability of the fetus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ongoing debate at the Supreme Court is less about the existence of the abortion right and more about the second ruling in Roe v. Wade in 1973 \u2013 that the right is limited by the emerging personhood of a fetus<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The state of Mississippi has redefined the emergence of personhood to be at 15 weeks<\/a>, not 24, and outlawed abortions before that point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Everything hinges on the judgment of personhood.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"A<\/a>
An anti-abortion activist holds up a model of a fetus during a protest in front of the U.S. Supreme Court on June 22, 2020. Photo by Alex Wong\/Getty Images<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Determining the facts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

When the Supreme Court considers how constitutional rights apply to the facts of our society, they are often forced to rule on what those broad prevailing facts<\/a> are. The justices could cite experts, employ their own perceptions or exercise a third option: allow diverse democratic decisions through state legislatures, an approach that could be called the federalism of facts<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Roe, the core factual question was whether a fetus is a person \u2013 a human who holds rights and hence cannot be killed lawfully by another person.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The court, ruling in 1973, recognized the problem: \u201cWhen those trained in the respective disciplines of medicine, philosophy, and theology are unable to arrive at any consensus, the judiciary, at this point in the development of man\u2019s knowledge, is not in a position to speculate as to the answer<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But the justices were nonetheless compelled to do so. The court ruled that \u201cthe unborn have never been recognized in the law as persons in the whole sense<\/a>.\u201d Therefore, \u201cthe word \u2018person,\u2019 as used in the 14th Amendment, does not include the unborn<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the court saw the personhood of a fetus as developing during the course of a pregnancy. Therefore, \u201cit is reasonable and appropriate for a State to decide that at some point in time another interest, that of health of the mother or that of potential human life<\/a>, becomes significantly involved.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The court concluded that \u201cwith respect to the State\u2019s important and legitimate interest in potential life, the \u2018compelling\u2019 point is at viability<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This means that in the early stages of pregnancy, abortion cannot be outlawed, but \u201cif the State is interested in protecting fetal life after viability<\/a>, it may go so far as to proscribe abortion during that period, except when it is necessary to preserve the life or health of the mother.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Two<\/a>
Norma McCorvey, left, who was Jane Roe in the 1973 Roe vs. Wade Supreme Court case, with her attorney, Gloria Allred, outside the Supreme Court in April 1989, where they observed arguments in a case that could have overturned Roe v. Wade \u2013 but didn\u2019t. AP Photo\/J. Scott Applewhite<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Why viability?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

There is a long-standing myth<\/a> that the author of Roe \u2013 Justice Harry Blackmun<\/a>, who had served for many years as chief counsel for the Mayo Clinic \u2013 had done copious medical research and come to the conclusion of viability as the emergence of personhood.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Linda Greenhouse, a longtime Supreme Court reporter for The New York Times, wrote the definitive biography of Blackmun<\/a>, which clearly demonstrates that this was not the case. Blackmun preferred the point of quickening \u2013 when the fetus first begins to move, at around the end of the first trimester \u2013 as the emergence of personhood.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In a memo to the justices in November 1972<\/a>, he wrote that the end of the first trimester \u201cis arbitrary, but perhaps any other selected point, such as quickening or viability, is equally arbitrary.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He later wrote<\/a>, \u201cI could go along with viability if it could command a court,\u201d but would \u201clike to leave the states free to draw their own medical conclusions with respect to the period after three months and until viability.\u201d In Greenhouse\u2019s telling, it was Justices William Brennan and Thurgood Marshall who urged viability as the court\u2019s standard, to which Blackmun eventually agreed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

During the arguments to the Supreme Court on Dec. 1, Chief Justice John Roberts and Justice Samuel Alito both referenced Blackmun\u2019s view that viability was an arbitrary line, suggesting that it could be reconsidered by the court.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[Over 140,000 readers rely on The Conversation\u2019s newsletters to understand the world.<\/em> Sign up today<\/a>.]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The court\u2019s options<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As a close observer of the court<\/a>, I believe the justices have three options rather than two:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 Maintain Roe fully, solidifying abortion rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 Overturn Roe entirely, ending all abortion rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 Focus only on the specific factual question of the Mississippi law \u2013 when does personhood emerge? \u2013 allowing individual states to determine that line for themselves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Based on the justices\u2019 questions and commentary during the oral arguments, Chief Justice Roberts appears to favor the third approach. Roberts\u2019 first question to the solicitor general of Mississippi was about the arbitrariness of viability, citing the revelations of Blackmun\u2019s original views. Roberts returned several times to viability as the core issue, asking the lawyer for the Mississippi abortion provider<\/a>, \u201cWhy is 15 weeks not enough time<\/a>?\u201d to obtain an abortion, emphasizing that<\/a> \u201cthe thing that is at issue before us today is 15 weeks.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The question as the court deliberates is whether the more conservative justices \u2013 especially the newest member of the court, Amy Coney Barrett \u2013 will join Roberts\u2019 limited focus, or instead rule on the constitutionality of the right to abortion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fellow conservative Brett Kavanaugh, the second newest justice, asked each speaker to respond to his position that when it comes to abortion \u2013 either the right to one or the degree to which that right is regulated \u2013 the Constitution \u201cleaves the issue for the people of the states<\/a> \u2026 to resolve in the democratic process.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Kavanaugh\u2019s view, seemingly shared by several other members of the court, this suggests that the decisions \u201cshould be left to the people<\/a>,\u201d which means that there could be<\/a> \u201cdifferent answers in Mississippi and New York.\u201d
<\/a> If Justice Barrett joins Kavanaugh\u2019s view, it will likely prevail and the full range of decisions about abortions will be returned to the states. If she joins with Chief Justice Roberts and focuses on viability alone, it could shift the narrower question of who decides when personhood occurs \u2013 and therefore what regulations can be put in place \u2013 to the states, rather than the Supreme Court.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, the three liberal justices \u2013 Stephen Breyer, Elena Kagan and Sonia Sotomayor \u2013 focused their questions squarely on maintaining precedent and the potential harm to the court\u2019s reputation in appearing to be partisan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But Roberts countered that the court<\/a> \u201ccannot base our decisions on whether they\u2019re popular or not with the people.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Morgan Marietta<\/a>, Associate Professor of Political Science, University of Massachusetts Lowell<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This article is republished from The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Morgan Marietta, University of Massachusetts Lowell The Supreme Court justices signaled a potential major shift on abortion law on Dec. 1, 2021. Hearing arguments in a case that could fundamentally alter abortion rights and regulations throughout the nation, the six conservative justices who hold the majority in the highest court seemed divided: Would they overturn […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":27758,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[295,4],"tags":[2388,840,5227,10937,1801,1908,2029,1666,1591],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27757"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/44"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27757"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27757\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27784,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27757\/revisions\/27784"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27758"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27757"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27757"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27757"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}