{"id":30254,"date":"2022-07-07T03:29:00","date_gmt":"2022-07-07T03:29:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/?p=30254"},"modified":"2022-07-09T04:20:18","modified_gmt":"2022-07-09T04:20:18","slug":"alaska-on-fire-thousands-of-lightning-strikes-and-a-warming-climate-put-alaska-on-pace-for-another-historic-fire-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/alaska-on-fire-thousands-of-lightning-strikes-and-a-warming-climate-put-alaska-on-pace-for-another-historic-fire-season\/","title":{"rendered":"Alaska on fire: Thousands of lightning strikes and a warming climate put Alaska on pace for another historic fire season"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/rick-thoman-1298469\">Rick Thoman<\/a>, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-alaska-fairbanks-1924\">University of Alaska Fairbanks<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Alaska is on pace for another historic wildfire year, with its fastest start to the fire season on record. By mid-June 2022, <a href=\"https:\/\/alaskabeacon.com\/briefs\/climate-change-cited-as-factor-in-early-alaska-wildfire-milestone\/\">over 1 million acres<\/a> had burned. By early July, that number was well <a href=\"https:\/\/akfireinfo.com\/2022\/07\/03\/alaska-surpasses-2-million-acres-burned\">over 2 million<\/a> acres, more than twice the size of a <a href=\"https:\/\/fire.ak.blm.gov\/content\/aicc\/Statistics%20Directory\/Alaska%20Fire%20History%20Chart%20with%20Data.xls\">typical Alaska fire season<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>We asked Rick Thoman, <a href=\"https:\/\/news.uaf.edu\/expertsguide\/rick-thoman\/\">a climate specialist<\/a> at the International Arctic Research Center in Fairbanks, why Alaska is seeing so many large, intense fires this year and how the region\u2019s fire season is changing.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Why is Alaska seeing so many fires this year?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>There isn\u2019t one simple answer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Early in the season, southwest Alaska was one of the few areas in the state with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nrcs.usda.gov\/wps\/portal\/nrcs\/ak\/snow\/\">below normal snowpack<\/a>. Then we had a warm spring, and southwest Alaska dried out. An outbreak of thunderstorms there in late May and early June provided the spark.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Global warming has also increased the amount of fuels \u2013 the plants and trees that are available to burn. More fuel means <a href=\"https:\/\/www.doi.gov\/wildlandfire\/fuels\">more intense fires<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So, the weather factors \u2013 the warm spring, low snowpack and unusual thunderstorm activity \u2013 combined with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncei.noaa.gov\/cag\/statewide\/time-series\/50\/tavg\/12\/12\/1895-2022?base_prd=true&amp;begbaseyear=1901&amp;endbaseyear=2000\">multidecade warming<\/a> that has allowed vegetation to grow in southwest Alaska, together fuel an active fire season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/473047\/original\/file-20220707-26-cube2k.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"Chart shows 2022 starting faster than any of the other large fire years on record and on pace with the 2015 fire season.\"\/><figcaption>2022 is among Alaska\u2019s busiest fire seasons in over 30 years of records. <a href=\"https:\/\/akfireinfo.com\/\">AICC<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In Alaska\u2019s interior, much of the area has been <a href=\"https:\/\/droughtmonitor.unl.edu\/data\/png\/20220628\/20220628_ak_trd.png\">abnormally dry<\/a> since late April. So, with the lightning storms, it\u2019s no surprise that we\u2019re now seeing many fires in the region. The interior had <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AlaskaWx\/status\/1544000284820590594\">about 18,000 strikes<\/a> over two days in early July.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Are lightning storms like this becoming more frequent?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>That\u2019s the million-dollar question.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s actually a two-part question: Are thunderstorms occurring more often now in places that used to rarely get them? I think the answer is unequivocally \u201cyes.\u201d Is the total number of strikes increasing? We don\u2019t know, because the networks tracking lightning strikes today are far more sensitive than in the past.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/472624\/original\/file-20220705-5022-ahqp5v.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"\"\/><figcaption>Lightning strikes in Alaska July 2-4, 2022. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AlaskaWx\/status\/1544000284820590594\">AICC<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Thunderstorms in Alaska are different from in most of the lower 48 in the sense that they tend to not be associated with weather fronts. They\u2019re what meteorologists call <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1175\/BAMS-D-16-0064.1\">air mass or pulse thunderstorms<\/a>. They\u2019re driven by two factors: the available moisture in the lower atmosphere and the temperature difference between the lower and middle atmospheres.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In a warming world, <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/the-water-cycle-is-intensifying-as-the-climate-warms-ipcc-report-warns-that-means-more-intense-storms-and-flooding-165590\">air can hold more moisture<\/a>, so you can get intense storms. In interior Alaska, we\u2019re getting thunderstorms more frequently. For example, the number of days with thunderstorms <a href=\"https:\/\/uaf-accap.org\/air-temperature\/other-climate-weather-graphics\/\">recorded at the Fairbanks Airport<\/a> show a clear increase. Indigenous elders also agree that they\u2019re seeing thunderstorms more often.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>You mentioned hotter fires. How are wildfires changing?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Wildfire is part of the natural ecosystem in the Boreal north, but the fires we\u2019re getting now are not the same as the fires that were burning 150 years ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More fuel, more lightning strikes, higher temperatures, lower humidity \u2013 they combine to fuel fires that burn hotter and burn deeper into the ground, so rather than just scorching the trees and burning the undergrowth, they\u2019re consuming everything, and you\u2019re left with this moonscape of ash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/10.1073\/pnas.2024872118\">Spruce trees<\/a> that <a href=\"https:\/\/beta.nsf.gov\/news\/black-spruce-trees-struggle-regenerate-amid-more-frequent-arctic-fires\">rely on fire<\/a> to burst open their cones can\u2019t reproduce when the fire turns those cones to ash. People who have been out in the field fighting fire for decades say they\u2019re amazed at the amount of destruction they see now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/472686\/original\/file-20220706-17-z1n7gv.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"Firefighters in tall grass silhouetted by flames in the trees beyond.\"\/><figcaption>Fire crews walk through tall vegetation as they conduct defensive burning against a large complex of fires near Lime Village, Alaska. The group of fires totaled more than 780,000 acres on July 5, 2022. <a href=\"https:\/\/akfireinfo.com\/2022\/07\/05\/high-humidity-and-defensive-burning-reducing-lime-complex-fire-spread\/\">Bryan Quimby\/Alaska Incident Management Team<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>So while fire has been natural here for tens of thousands of years, the fire situation has changed. The frequency of million-acre fires in Alaska <a href=\"https:\/\/uaf-iarc.org\/alaskas-changing-environment\/\">has doubled since before 1990<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>What impact are these fires having on the population?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The most common impact on humans is smoke.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most wildfires in Alaska aren\u2019t burning through heavily populated areas, though that does happen. When you\u2019re burning 2 million acres, you\u2019re burning a lot of trees, and so you\u2019re putting a lot of smoke into the air, and it travels long distances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In early July, we saw explosive <a href=\"https:\/\/alaskabeacon.com\/briefs\/alaska-wildfires-and-their-smoke-force-closures-cancelations-and-exacuations\/\">wildfire activity north of Lake Iliamna<\/a> in southwest Alaska. The winds were blowing from the southeast then, and dense smoke was transported hundreds of miles. In Nome, 400 miles away, the air quality index at the hospital <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AlaskaWx\/status\/1542899411080007681\">exceeded 600 parts per million<\/a> for PM2.5, fine particulate matter that <a href=\"https:\/\/ww2.arb.ca.gov\/resources\/inhalable-particulate-matter-and-health\">can trigger asthma<\/a> and harm the lungs. Anything <a href=\"https:\/\/www.airnow.gov\/aqi\/aqi-basics\/\">over 150 ppm is unhealthy<\/a>, and over 400 ppm is considered hazardous.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/472631\/original\/file-20220705-23-jymkxn.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"\"\/><figcaption>Fires burning on June 10, 2022, seen from a satellite. NASA Earth Observatory<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/472632\/original\/file-20220705-13-vslisk.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"\"\/><figcaption>A close-up view shows where people were evacuated near one of the region\u2019s largest tundra fires on record. <a href=\"https:\/\/earthobservatory.nasa.gov\/images\/149973\/alaska-ablaze\">NASA Earth Observatory<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>There are other risks. When fires threaten rural Alaska communities, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.alaskapublic.org\/2022\/06\/10\/vulnerable-residents-flown-out-of-st-marys-and-pitkas-point-as-major-tundra-fire-closes-in\/\">as one did near St. Mary\u2019s<\/a> in June 2022, evacuating can mean flying people out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Worsening fire seasons also put pressure on firefighting resources everywhere. Firefighting is expensive, and Alaska counts on fire crews, planes and equipment from the lower 48 states and other countries. In the past, when Alaska had a big fire season, crews would come up from the lower 48 because their fire season was typically much later. Now, wildfire season there is all year, and there are fewer movable resources available.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/rick-thoman-1298469\">Rick Thoman<\/a>, Alaska Climate Specialist, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-alaska-fairbanks-1924\">University of Alaska Fairbanks<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This article is republished from <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/alaska-on-fire-thousands-of-lightning-strikes-and-a-warming-climate-put-alaska-on-pace-for-another-historic-fire-season-186453\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rick Thoman, University of Alaska Fairbanks Alaska is on pace for another historic wildfire year, with its fastest start to the fire season on record. By mid-June 2022, over 1 million acres had burned. By early July, that number was well over 2 million acres, more than twice the size of a typical Alaska fire [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":30255,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1862,118],"tags":[2116,1554,5285,139,170,6832,2198,8543,9971,3679,9653,3357,2202],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30254"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/44"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30254"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30254\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30261,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30254\/revisions\/30261"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/30255"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30254"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30254"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30254"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}