{"id":38935,"date":"2025-03-12T11:15:00","date_gmt":"2025-03-12T11:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/?p=38935"},"modified":"2025-03-12T06:22:51","modified_gmt":"2025-03-12T06:22:51","slug":"us-ukraine-deal-highlights-ukraines-wealth-of-critical-minerals-but-extracting-them-isnt-so-simple","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/us-ukraine-deal-highlights-ukraines-wealth-of-critical-minerals-but-extracting-them-isnt-so-simple\/","title":{"rendered":"US-Ukraine deal highlights Ukraine\u2019s wealth of critical minerals, but extracting them isn\u2019t so&nbsp;simple"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/scott-l-montgomery-102115\">Scott L. Montgomery<\/a>, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-washington-699\">University of Washington<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ukraine\u2019s mineral wealth has been a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/politics\/national-security\/trump-wants-see-just-minerals-deal-restart-aid-intel-ukraine-rcna195508\">key factor in its negotiations<\/a> with the U.S. as the two countries work out details for a ceasefire agreement in Ukraine\u2019s war with Russia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After a <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/the-only-winner-here-is-putin-ukraine-unites-in-response-to-trump-zelenskyy-spat-and-resigns-itself-to-new-reality-251228\">rocky start to those negotiations<\/a>, officials from the U.S. and Ukraine <a href=\"https:\/\/www.president.gov.ua\/en\/news\/spilna-zayava-za-pidsumkami-zustrichi-delegacij-ukrayini-ta-96553\">announced an agreement<\/a> on March 11, 2025. The U.S. would resume support and intelligence sharing with Ukraine, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.state.gov\/joint-statement-on-the-united-states-ukraine-meeting-in-jeddah\/\">with some conditions<\/a>, and both agreed to work toward \u201ca comprehensive agreement for developing Ukraine\u2019s critical mineral resources to expand Ukraine\u2019s economy and guarantee Ukraine\u2019s long-term prosperity and security.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The initial announcement from Ukraine\u2019s government stated that critical minerals would also \u201coffset the cost of American assistance,\u201d but that line was removed from the joint statement. Getting Russia to agree to a ceasefire would be the next step.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s no doubt that Ukraine has an abundance of critical minerals, or that these resources will be essential to its postwar reconstruction. But what exactly do those resources include, and how abundant and accessible are they?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The war has severely limited access to data about Ukraine\u2019s natural resources. However, as a <a href=\"https:\/\/jsis.washington.edu\/people\/scott-montgomery\/\">geoscientist<\/a> with experience in resource evaluation, I have been reading technical reports, many of them behind paywalls, to understand what\u2019s at stake. Here\u2019s what we know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Ukraine\u2019s minerals fuel industries and militaries<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Ukraine\u2019s mineral resources are concentrated in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.icog.es\/TyT\/index.php\/2022\/05\/the-mineral-resources-of-ukraine\/\">two geologic provinces<\/a>. The larger of these, known as the Ukrainian Shield, is a wide belt running through the center of the country, from the northwest to the southeast. It consists of very old, metamorphic and granitic rocks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A multibillion-year history of fault movement and volcanic activity created a diversity of minerals concentrated in local sites and across some larger regions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A second province, close to Ukraine\u2019s border with Russia in the east, includes a rift basin known as the Dnipro-Donets Depression. It is filled with sedimentary rocks containing coal, oil and natural gas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/652337\/original\/file-20250228-44-mmi4ux.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"A map shows critical minerals across the country, including near the Russian border.\" \/><figcaption>Ukraine\u2019s critical mineral resources. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.geo.gov.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/presentations\/en\/investment-opportunities-in-exploration-production-strategic-and-critical-minerals.pdf\">Ukrainian Geological Survey<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Before <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cfr.org\/timeline\/ukraines-struggle-independence-russias-shadow\">Ukraine\u2019s independence<\/a> in 1991, both areas supplied the Soviet Union with materials for its industrialization and military. A massive industrial area centered on steelmaking grew in the southeast, where iron, manganese and coal are especially plentiful.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By the 2000s, Ukraine was a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mcilvainecompany.com\/worldind\/usgs%20countries\/usgs-uzbekistan.pdf\">significant producer<\/a> and exporter of these and other minerals. It also <a href=\"https:\/\/world-nuclear.org\/information-library\/country-profiles\/countries-t-z\/ukraine\">mines uranium<\/a>, used for nuclear power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In addition, Soviet and Ukrainian geoscientists identified deposits of lithium and <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/what-are-rare-earths-crucial-elements-in-modern-technology-4-questions-answered-101364\">rare earth metals<\/a> that remain undeveloped.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, technical reports suggest that assessments of these and some other critical minerals are based on <a href=\"https:\/\/minexforum.com\/2025\/02\/07\/ukraines-critical-materials-sector-challenges-and-investment-opportunities\/\">outdated geologic data<\/a>, that <a href=\"https:\/\/rmis.jrc.ec.europa.eu\/cp\/UA\">a significant number of mines are inactive<\/a> due to the war, and that many employ <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2025\/02\/27\/europe\/ukraine-titanium-mine-rare-earth-trump-deal-intl-hnk\/index.html\">older, inefficient technology<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That suggests critical mineral production could be increased by peacetime foreign investment, and that these minerals could provide even greater value than they do today to whomever controls them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Why the US is so interested<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Critical minerals <a href=\"https:\/\/crsreports.congress.gov\/product\/pdf\/R\/R47982\/3\">are defined<\/a> as resources that are essential to economic or national security and subject to supply risks. They include minerals used in military equipment, computers, batteries and many other products.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usgs.gov\/faqs\/what-a-critical-mineral\">list of 50 critical minerals<\/a>, created by the U.S. Geological Survey, shows that more than a dozen relied upon by the U.S. are abundant in Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A majority of those are in the Ukrainian Shield, and roughly 20% of Ukraine\u2019s total possible reserves are in areas currently occupied by Russia\u2019s military forces.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/654513\/original\/file-20250311-56-7riz96.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"Machinery work in a deep open mine.\" \/><figcaption>Graphite is mined from a quarry that is about 120 meters deep in Zavallya, Ukraine. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/news-photo\/view-of-zavalivskyi-graphite-plant-a-ukrainian-enterprise-news-photo\/2202681792\">Arsen Dzodzaiev\/Anadolu via Getty Images<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2>Critical minerals Ukraine currently mines<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Three critical minerals especially abundant in Ukraine are manganese, titanium and graphite. Between 80% and 100% of U.S. demand for each of these currently <a href=\"https:\/\/pubs.usgs.gov\/periodicals\/mcs2025\/mcs2025.pdf\">comes from foreign imports.<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Manganese is an essential element in steelmaking and batteries. Ukraine is estimated to have the largest total reserves in the world at 2.4 billion tons. However, the deposits are of fairly low grade \u2013 only about 11% to 35% of the rock mined is manganese. So it tends to require a lot of material and expensive processing, adding to the total cost.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is also true for graphite, used in battery electrodes and <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3133\/pp1802J\">a variety of industrial applications<\/a>. Graphite occurs in ore bodies located in the south-central and northwestern portion of the Ukrainian Shield. At least six deposits have been identified there, with an estimated total of 343 million tons of ore\u2013 18.6 million tons of actual graphite. It\u2019s the largest source in Europe and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/articles\/c20le8jn282o\">fifth largest globally<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Titanium, a key metal for aerospace, ship and missile technology, is present in as many as 28 locations in Ukraine, both in hard rock and sand or gravel deposits. The size of the total reserve is confidential, but estimates are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.france24.com\/en\/live-news\/20250306-ukraine-titanium-mine-hopes-us-deal-will-bring-funds\">commonly in the hundreds of millions of tons<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/654514\/original\/file-20250311-56-giuxs1.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"Two people look out windows at equipment operating in a mine.\" \/><figcaption>Workers operate machinery at an open-pit titanium mine in the Zhytomyr region on Feb. 28, 2025, amid the Russian invasion of Ukraine. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/news-photo\/workers-operate-machinery-at-an-open-pit-titanium-mine-in-news-photo\/2201847117\">Roman Pilipey\/AFP via Getty Images<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>A number of other critical minerals that are used in semiconductor and battery technologies are less plentiful in Ukraine but also valuable. Zinc occurs in deposits with other metals such as lead, gold, silver and copper. Gallium and germanium are byproducts of other ores \u2013 zinc for gallium, lignite coal for germanium. Nickel and cobalt can be found in ultramafic rock, with nickel more abundant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>No figures for Ukraine\u2019s reserves of these elements were available in early 2025, with the exception of zinc, whose reserves have been estimated at around 6.1 million tons, putting Ukraine among the top 10 nations for zinc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Critical minerals that aren\u2019t being mined \u2013 yet<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Geologists have identified potentially significant volumes in Ukraine of three other types of critical minerals important for energy, military and other uses: lithium, rare earth metals and scandium.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>None of these had been mined there as of early 2025, though a lithium deposit <a href=\"https:\/\/ukrlithium.com\/project\/\">had been licensed<\/a> for commercial extraction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The largest potential lithium reserves exist at three sites in the south-central and southeastern Ukrainian Shield, where the grade of ore is considered moderate to good. How much lithium these reserves hold remains confidential, but technical reports suggest it\u2019s on the order of 160 million tons of ore and 1.6 million to 3 million tons of lithium oxide. If most of this could be recovered in a profitable way, it would place Ukraine among the top five nations for lithium.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Smaller volumes of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usgs.gov\/publications\/niobium-and-tantalum\">tantalum and niobium<\/a>, also used in steel alloys and technology, have also been identified in these reserves. Most of Ukraine\u2019s lithium occurs as petalite, which, unlike the other main lithium mineral, spodumene, requires more expensive processing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rare earth elements in Ukraine are known to exist <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rferl.org\/a\/ukraine-trump-rare-earth-minerals-russia\/33302784.html\">in several sites<\/a> of volcanic origin and in association with uranium in the south-central portion of the Ukrainian Shield. These haven\u2019t been developed, though sampling has indicated commercial potential in some sites, while other sites appear less viable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/654517\/original\/file-20250311-62-4shl4k.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"Excavators work in a vast mined area.\" \/><figcaption>Despite the ongoing war, many mining companies across the country have continued their operations, extracting resources such as titanium, graphite and beryllium. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/news-photo\/drag-line-excavator-mines-rare-earth-materials-on-ukrainian-news-photo\/2201332404\">Kostiantyn Liberov\/Libkos\/Getty Images<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Rare earth elements in high demand for superior magnets and electronics \u2013 neodymium, praseodymium, terbium and dysprosium \u2013 are all present in varying amounts in these areas. Other critical minerals are associated with these deposits, especially zirconium, tantalum and niobium, in undetermined but potentially significant amounts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, scandium, used in aluminum alloys for aerospace components, has been identified as a byproduct of processing titanium ores. Ukraine\u2019s scandium does not appear to have been studied in enough detail to evaluate its commercial potential. However, world production, about 30 to 40 tons per year, is <a href=\"https:\/\/straitsresearch.com\/report\/scandium-market\">forecast to grow rapidly<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Ukraine\u2019s mineral future<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s clear that Ukraine is endowed with valuable resources. However, extracting them will require roads and railways for access, infrastructure such as electricity and mining and processing technology, investment, technical expertise, environmental considerations and, above all, cessation of military conflict.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Those are the true determinants of Ukraine\u2019s mining future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>This article, originally published March 11, 2025, has been updated with the announced agreement.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/scott-l-montgomery-102115\">Scott L. Montgomery<\/a>, Lecturer, Jackson School of International Studies, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-washington-699\">University of Washington<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This article is republished from <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/us-ukraine-deal-highlights-ukraines-wealth-of-critical-minerals-but-extracting-them-isnt-so-simple-250996\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Scott L. Montgomery, University of Washington Ukraine\u2019s mineral wealth has been a key factor in its negotiations with the U.S. as the two countries work out details for a ceasefire agreement in Ukraine\u2019s war with Russia. After a rocky start to those negotiations, officials from the U.S. and Ukraine announced an agreement on March 11, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":56,"featured_media":38936,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[5,115,277,276,1862,46,25,47,296,4],"tags":[139,16128,479,1866,7495,3940,885,891,886,860,10410,13936,5442,1868,3102,16127,234,11192,11524,949,12657,97],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38935"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/56"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38935"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38935\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":38937,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38935\/revisions\/38937"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/38936"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38935"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38935"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38935"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}