{"id":39133,"date":"2025-04-01T12:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-01T12:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/?p=39133"},"modified":"2025-04-06T16:51:52","modified_gmt":"2025-04-06T16:51:52","slug":"america-the-secular-what-a-changing-religious-landscape-means-for-us-politics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/america-the-secular-what-a-changing-religious-landscape-means-for-us-politics\/","title":{"rendered":"America the secular? What a changing religious landscape means for US&nbsp;politics"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/david-campbell-312685\">David Campbell<\/a>, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-notre-dame-990\">University of Notre Dame<\/a><\/em> and <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/geoffrey-c-layman-2323491\">Geoffrey C. Layman<\/a>, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-notre-dame-990\">University of Notre Dame<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After climbing for decades, the percentage of Americans with no religion <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/religion\/2025\/02\/26\/decline-of-christianity-in-the-us-has-slowed-may-have-leveled-off\">has leveled off<\/a>. For the past few years, the share of adults who identify as atheist, agnostic or \u201cnothing in particular\u201d has stood at about 29%, according to a major study the Pew Research Center released Feb. 26, 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But this hardly means that the \u201cnones,\u201d or their impact on American life, are going away. In fact, their sheer size makes it likely that they will increase in political prominence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It will presumably come as no surprise that many secular voters <a href=\"https:\/\/www.prri.org\/spotlight\/partisanship-and-political-engagement-among-religiously-unaffiliated-voters-ahead-of-the-2024-presidential-election\/\">lean to the political left<\/a>. It may, however, be surprising to learn that a fairly large number of nonreligious voters <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/short-reads\/2024\/09\/09\/white-protestants-and-catholics-support-trump-but-voters-in-other-us-religious-groups-prefer-harris\/\">supported President Donald Trump<\/a> in the 2020 and 2024 elections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If the above paragraph is a head-scratcher, that is because \u201cnonreligious\u201d and \u201csecular\u201d are often treated as two ways of saying the same thing. But as <a href=\"https:\/\/politicalscience.nd.edu\/people\/david-campbell\/\">political scientists<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/politicalscience.nd.edu\/people\/geoffrey-layman\/\">who study religion<\/a> \u2013 and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cambridge.org\/core\/books\/secular-surge\/97F16AA6E64D63718D58AF327100BFE2\">the lack thereof<\/a> \u2013 we have found that there is a fundamental difference between the two. While conventional wisdom holds that religious voters are Republicans and nonreligious voters are Democrats, the reality is more complicated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Nonreligious vs. secular<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>So, what is the difference between people who are nonreligious vs. those who are secular?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The nonreligious tend to define themselves by what they are not: for example, not belonging to a religion, not attending worship services, not believing in God. In our surveys, many people without a religious affiliation do not cite any particular worldview or philosophy when asked what guides their life.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Secular people, on the other hand, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/pops.13007\">define themselves by what they are<\/a>: someone who has embraced a humanistic and even scientific worldview. That is, when asked about where they find truth, they turn to sources such as science and philosophy instead of scripture and religious teachings. Often, they identify as atheist, agnostic or humanist.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There are secular people, however, who also embrace some aspects of faith. Religiosity and secularity are not in a zero-sum relationship: more of one does not necessarily mean less of the other. In our research, we found many cases of people who belong to a religious congregation <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1093\/poq\/nfab011\">yet have a secular worldview<\/a>: This describes many Jews, mainline Protestants and even Catholics, for example.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>4 groups<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>To get a better sense of Americans\u2019 views, for over a decade we have worked on developing questions to identify people with a secular outlook, while also asking about religious commitment, such as how often someone attends services. Our findings culminated in the 2021 book \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/9781108923347\">Secular Surge: A New Fault Line in American Politics<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on the results, we can divide the U.S. population into four groups: Religionists, Nonreligionists, Secularists and Religious Secularists.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-datawrapper wp-block-embed-datawrapper\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" title=\"America&#039;s religious landscape\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/mv8Fa\/7\/#?secret=05sLpPPNNZ\" data-secret=\"05sLpPPNNZ\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"623\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The Religionists category includes people of all faiths. At 41%, this is the largest group in the United States, but they do not form a majority.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Secularists make up 27% of the population \u2013 larger than the percentage of any single religious tradition. Evangelical Christians, for example, are 23% of the U.S. population, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/religion\/2025\/02\/26\/decline-of-christianity-in-the-us-has-slowed-may-have-leveled-off\/\">according to Pew<\/a>, and Catholics are 19%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Another 14% of Americans are what we call Religious Secularists: people who identify with and participate in a religious community, yet have a secular worldview. They might attend worship services but consider their religion more as an expression of their culture than a source of teachings to inform their daily decision-making. Some Religious Secularists may describe themselves as agnostic or even atheist.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, 18% of Americans are Nonreligionists: These are people we described above as not having any religion in their lives, but neither do they have a secular worldview. They are defined by what they are not, not what they are.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Political views<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>These four groups vary in whether they are politically engaged \u2013 and if so, whom they support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/9781108923347\">our book about America\u2019s \u201csecular surge<\/a>\u201d we used data from a nationwide survey in 2017. In 2021, we conducted <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s11109-025-10006-w\">a second wave<\/a> of that survey.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to data from that survey that we analyzed for this article, Religionists and Secularists are about equally likely to get involved in politics: roughly 30% of both groups reported doing something political in the past 12 months, such as attending a rally, volunteering for a candidate or donating money. Nonreligionists were much less likely: only 17%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In fact, no matter the form of civic engagement \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/not-religious-not-voting-the-nones-are-a-powerful-force-in-politics-but-not-yet-a-coalition-207584\">voting<\/a>, volunteering \u2013 Nonreligionists were consistently the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/religion\/2024\/01\/24\/are-nones-less-involved-in-civic-life-than-people-who-identify-with-a-religion\/\">least likely to be involved<\/a>. Only 30% of Nonreligionists report belonging to any sort of club or organization, while for the rest of the population, it is closer to 50%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-datawrapper wp-block-embed-datawrapper\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" title=\"Do you get involved in political campaigns?\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/7Jvbw\/7\/#?secret=IBWNwM6ejP\" data-secret=\"IBWNwM6ejP\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"454\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In the same 2021 survey, we asked people to rate various politicians on a 0-100 scale, with a higher number meaning a more positive view.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On average, Religionists rated Trump a 61, the highest of the four groups; Secularists give him the lowest score, at 14. Nonreligionists gave Trump 47 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It would be wrong, however, to call the Nonreligionists an ideologically conservative group.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Consider their ratings of Bernie Sanders, who caucuses with the Democratic Party but describes himself as a democratic socialist. For three of the groups, support for Sanders was the mirror opposite of their feelings toward Trump, a Republican. Secularists, for instance, gave the Vermont senator a relatively high score of 66, on average; Religionists\u2019 feelings toward him are much cooler, at 32 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By contrast, Nonreligionists gave a nearly identical rating to Trump and Sanders. Given that the two men are at opposite ideological poles, how could Nonreligionists rate them the same? We suspect it is because both figures <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2016\/03\/27\/magazine\/how-can-donald-trump-and-bernie-sanders-both-be-populist.html\">challenge the status quo<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-datawrapper wp-block-embed-datawrapper\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" title=\"On a scale from 0 to 100, how highly would you rate these politicians?\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/WI4Eg\/3\/#?secret=qWu5HfMAFT\" data-secret=\"qWu5HfMAFT\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"415\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2024, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/12\/23\/us\/politics\/trump-turning-point-arizona-2024-election.html\">Trump campaign worked to mobilize<\/a> \u201clow-propensity voters\u201d: political jargon for people with the low levels of civic engagement often found <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/9781108923347\">among Nonreligionists<\/a>. Not only are they <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/religion\/2024\/01\/24\/are-nones-less-involved-in-civic-life-than-people-who-identify-with-a-religion\/\">politically disengaged<\/a>, they are the most likely to combine being young, male, white and without a college degree.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>A \u2018secular left\u2019?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Secularists, too, are disproportionately young and white. But in other ways they are <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/9781108923347\">very different from Nonreligionists<\/a>. Secularists typically have a college degree and are evenly balanced between women and men. Typically, they are also liberal and highly engaged in politics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So how will they shape American politics? The answer may depend on whether Secularists cohere into a movement \u2013 a secular left to parallel the religious right.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Today, highly religious conservatives are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simonandschuster.com\/books\/American-Grace\/Robert-D-Putnam\/9781416566731\">a vocal group within American politics<\/a>, the core of the Republican Party. A generation ago, however, they were a disparate group of people from different Christian denominations, from Baptists to Pentecostals. Many of the religious groups that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.routledge.com\/Onward-Christian-Soldiers-The-Religious-Right-in-American-Politics\/Wilcox-Robinson\/p\/book\/9780813344539?srsltid=AfmBOorbllG3soWNBe7YSP6jqHHcCDLGjXO8gJVkEni8JHrfVPYG519T\">now march in common cause<\/a> once had sharp disagreements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It remains to be seen <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/not-religious-not-voting-the-nones-are-a-powerful-force-in-politics-but-not-yet-a-coalition-207584\">whether secular voters will organize<\/a> in a similar way. Either way, it is safe to say America\u2019s religious composition has changed significantly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Don\u2019t assume, however, that a turn away from religion necessarily means a sharp turn toward the political left. We\u2019d caution that the story is more complicated. For now, secular voters lean to the left \u2013 but nonreligious voters are up for grabs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/david-campbell-312685\">David Campbell<\/a>, Packey J. Dee Professor of American Democracy, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-notre-dame-990\">University of Notre Dame<\/a><\/em> and <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/geoffrey-c-layman-2323491\">Geoffrey C. Layman<\/a>, Professor of Political Science, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-notre-dame-990\">University of Notre Dame<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This article is republished from <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/america-the-secular-what-a-changing-religious-landscape-means-for-us-politics-249892\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>David Campbell, University of Notre Dame and Geoffrey C. Layman, University of Notre Dame After climbing for decades, the percentage of Americans with no religion has leveled off. For the past few years, the share of adults who identify as atheist, agnostic or \u201cnothing in particular\u201d has stood at about 29%, according to a major [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":56,"featured_media":39134,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[8025,46,295,10,296,36,4,2450,38],"tags":[14750,508,479,885,891,886,860,3822,5098,8156,6610,16207,16208,5640,16209],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39133"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/56"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39133"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39133\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":39135,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39133\/revisions\/39135"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/39134"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39133"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39133"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39133"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}