{"id":41276,"date":"2025-12-15T07:15:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-15T15:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/?p=41276"},"modified":"2025-12-22T09:39:15","modified_gmt":"2025-12-22T17:39:15","slug":"a-colorado-guaranteed-income-program-could-help-families-but-the-costs-are-high","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/a-colorado-guaranteed-income-program-could-help-families-but-the-costs-are-high\/","title":{"rendered":"A Colorado guaranteed income program could help families, but the costs are&nbsp;high"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/jennifer-c-greenfield-523513\">Jennifer C. Greenfield<\/a>, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-denver-812\">University of Denver<\/a><\/em>; <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/kaitlyn-m-sims-2272597\">Kaitlyn M. Sims<\/a>, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-denver-812\">University of Denver<\/a><\/em>; <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/institute-for-humane-studies-6588\">Institute for Humane Studies<\/a><\/em>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/stefan-chavez-norgaard-2465377\">Stefan Chavez-Norgaard<\/a>, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-denver-812\">University of Denver<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In Colorado, full-time workers need to earn an <a href=\"https:\/\/nlihc.org\/housing-needs-by-state\/colorado\">hourly wage of at least $36.79<\/a> to afford $2,000 in monthly rent, which is below the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.huduser.gov\/periodicals\/ushmc\/winter98\/summary-2.html\">federal fair market rate<\/a> for a Denver-area two-bedroom unit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More than <a href=\"https:\/\/nlihc.org\/housing-needs-by-state\/colorado\">87% of low-income Coloradans<\/a> spend more than one-third of their pretax income on housing \u2014 a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nerdwallet.com\/finance\/learn\/how-much-should-i-spend-on-rent\">common benchmark for housing affordability<\/a>. High costs of housing, child care and transportation in Colorado are key drivers of a statewide <a href=\"https:\/\/choosecolorado.com\/living\/cost-of-living\/\">cost of living that is 12% above<\/a> the national average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For many Coloradans, a few hundred extra dollars a month would go a long way. Yet today, the U.S. safety net appears more tenuous than ever and is unlikely to meet all their needs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nationally, over the 43-day government shutdown that began on Oct. 1, 2025, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2025\/10\/24\/nx-s1-5581505\/government-shutdown-federal-employees-paycheck\">1.4 million federal workers<\/a> went without paychecks. More than <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/cps\/\">150,000 jobs<\/a> were cut in the U.S. private sector in October alone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As layoffs increase, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.chicagofed.org\/research\/data\/chicago-fed-labor-market-indicators\/latest-release\">fewer people are being hired<\/a> into new positions. At the same time, the federal government shutdown put <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/11\/08\/us\/politics\/snap-payments-timeline.html\">families receiving federal food assistance<\/a> on an emotional roller coaster as aid was promised and then pulled away.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This recent federal funding uncertainty has resurfaced the idea of state or local programs that <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/topics\/universal-basic-income-ubi-26213\">give people money<\/a> without any strings attached.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Rise of guaranteed income programs<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>First <a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/books\/edition\/The_Politics_of_a_Guaranteed_Income\/vHIsS0yCYTgC?hl=en\">proposed nationally during the Nixon administration<\/a> in the 1970s, guaranteed income programs have grown more popular in the U.S.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The concept got a big boost when entrepreneur <a href=\"https:\/\/2020.yang2020.com\/policies\/the-freedom-dividend\/\">Andrew Yang proposed a $1,000 monthly stipend<\/a> during his bid for the Democratic Party\u2019s presidential nomination. Yang\u2019s proposal called for giving all Americans money to help them deal with economic problems brought on by job losses tied to automation and new technologies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In Colorado, both <a href=\"https:\/\/bouldercolorado.gov\/projects\/guaranteed-income-pilot-project\">Boulder<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.denverbasicincomeproject.org\/\">Denver<\/a> have piloted guaranteed income programs. In both cases the programs were studied using rigorous <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.chest.2020.03.013\">randomized-control trial<\/a> research designs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We are an academic research team comprised of a <a href=\"https:\/\/scholar.google.com\/citations?user=mQwxFKAAAAAJ&amp;hl=en&amp;oi=ao\">social scientist<\/a> with a background in economic analysis, a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.du.edu\/node\/65031\">social work scholar<\/a> who studies policy approaches to reducing health and wealth disparities, and an <a href=\"https:\/\/korbel.du.edu\/directory\/stefan-chavez-norgaard\/\">urban planning scholar<\/a> with expertise in state and local policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We were contracted to provide <a href=\"https:\/\/korbel.du.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Scrivner_Colorado_Cash_Dividend_White_Paper_December_2025.pdf\">an independent evaluation and cost assessment<\/a> of administering a statewide cash assistance program for Coloradans. Our estimates include projections for population changes, such as the aging workforce, and three tiers of support: from low, $25 per month, to medium, $100 per month, to high, $500 per month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rolling out a state government program that gives everyone money would be expensive, so we also estimated what it would cost to introduce a program just for the lowest-income Coloradans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>What are guaranteed income programs?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Guaranteed income programs are policies that support a population by giving people money on a regular basis \u2014 regardless of their income. They\u2019re called <a href=\"https:\/\/basicincome.stanford.edu\/about\/what-is-ubi\/\">universal basic income<\/a> programs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More common in practice are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ucl.ac.uk\/bartlett\/sites\/bartlett\/files\/berry_c_2023._the_case_for_a_universal_basic_dividend.pdf\">cash dividends<\/a>. Dividends offer cash assistance to a qualifying group or segment of the population, such as people below a certain income or with a qualifying disability. An example of this is Michigan\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/rxkids.org\/\">Rx Kids Program<\/a>, which provides cash assistance for pregnant people, new parents and babies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Guaranteed income programs can be administered at the neighborhood, city or state level. Programs in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cambridgema.gov\/riseup\">Cambridge, Massachusetts<\/a>; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ci.richmond.ca.us\/DocumentCenter\/View\/52924\/05052020-R3F-Joint-Press-Release?bidId=\">Richmond, California;<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bmorechildren.com\/guaranteed-income\">Baltimore<\/a> have all shown efficacy in targeting the needs of local communities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For example, people who were enrolled in the Rise Up Cambridge program became more likely to be employed, get enough to eat and have housing \u2013 while making more money \u2014 than those who didn\u2019t get cash assistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most <a href=\"http:\/\/doi.org\/10.1515\/bis-2023-0030\">cash assistance programs have succeeded<\/a>. Research by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.givedirectly.org\/2023-ubi-results\/\">GiveDirectly<\/a> and the <a href=\"https:\/\/basicincome.stanford.edu\/uploads\/Umbrella%20Review%20BI_final.pdf\">Stanford Basic Income Project<\/a> likewise find that beneficiaries of cash assistance programs are more likely to get involved in their local communities. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These programs can support people who have lost their jobs or are experiencing health crises. In Colorado, a statewide guaranteed income program could help low-income Coloradans <a href=\"https:\/\/bellpolicy.org\/colorado-housing-primer-2025\/\">facing high housing<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.dol.gov\/2024\/11\/19\/new-data-childcare-costs-remain-an-almost-prohibitive-expense?webview=trb-wv-ios-v10.0.36&amp;mvtoken=119595010348800\">child care<\/a> costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Similarly, the program could <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cpr.org\/2024\/04\/08\/colorado-aging-population\/\">help Colorado\u2019s growing population of older people<\/a> with fixed incomes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It could also address fears that the rise of artificial intelligence <a href=\"https:\/\/www.colorado.edu\/orientation\/2024\/03\/06\/how-ai-shaping-work-world\">will cause job losses and result in lower wages<\/a> for many workers. <a href=\"https:\/\/business.columbia.edu\/research-brief\/research-brief\/ai-industrial-revolution\">Columbia Business School researchers have predicted<\/a> a 5% decline in how much of the country\u2019s total economic output goes to workers\u2019 wages due to artificial intelligence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Program, not panacea<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>While guaranteed income programs can help the people who get money from them, they are complicated, expensive and hard to administer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Administering a guaranteed income program requires massive capacity to deploy and manage. The state would have to facilitate enrollment, keep mailing addresses or bank information updated and supervise transfers for more than 5 million Coloradans every single month. Some of this data may already exist at state agencies, but no one agency has all of this information at its disposal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For instance, only <a href=\"https:\/\/cdor.colorado.gov\/sites\/revenue\/files\/documents\/2024_Annual_Report_DR4000.pdf\">80% of adults<\/a>, roughly 3.3 million people, in Colorado filed a tax return in 2023; only <a href=\"https:\/\/famli.colorado.gov\/resources\/famli-by-the-numbers\">175,000 workers<\/a> filed a Family and Medical Leave Insurance claim in 2024; and just <a href=\"https:\/\/hcpf.colorado.gov\/2023-report-to-community\">about 1 million adults<\/a> are enrolled in Health First Colorado, the state\u2019s Medicaid program. Even merging data across these agencies \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/oit.colorado.gov\/statewide-longitudinal-data-system-slds\">an effort that is underway<\/a> but is just getting started \u2014 would miss some households across the state.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/707887\/original\/file-20251210-56-l5j25u.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"A large building with a gold dome on a sunny day behind a green lawn.\"\/><figcaption>It would cost more than half of Colorado\u2019s annual general fund to give $100 a month to every Coloradan as part of a statewide income program. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/photo\/colorado-state-capitol-royalty-free-image\/521631604?phrase=colorado%20state%20capitol&amp;searchscope=image%2Cfilm&amp;adppopup=true\">Jan Butchofsky\/GettyImages<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In a world of finite budgets, a statewide universal program would have to be smaller per person, limiting its benefits. Giving all Colorado residents $100 per month would cost more than $7 billion each year. That\u2019s more than <a href=\"https:\/\/content.leg.colorado.gov\/explorebudget\/\">half of Colorado\u2019s annual general fund<\/a>. However, it would cost half as much \u2014 $3.3. billion \u2014 to provide $500 per month to the 554,000 Coloradans who are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.healthcare.gov\/glossary\/federal-poverty-level-fpl\/\">below the federal poverty line<\/a>, which is $32,150 for a family of five.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Finding this money within the state budget could require cutting spending elsewhere \u2014 potentially from other state-funded programs that benefit low-income families.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Trade-offs for policymakers<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>If federal food assistance, including the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/topics\/supplemental-nutrition-assistance-program-snap-20849\">Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program<\/a>, is disrupted again, either by more funding freezes or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/articles\/snap-cuts-in-the-one-big-beautiful-bill-act-will-significantly-impair-recession-response\">new changes in eligibility rules<\/a>, a statewide supportive assistance program could help offset the impact.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2024, the average American getting SNAP benefits <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbpp.org\/research\/food-assistance\/a-closer-look-at-who-benefits-from-snap-state-by-state-fact-sheets#Alabama\">received $6.11 per day<\/a>, or less than $200 a month. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbpp.org\/sites\/default\/files\/atoms\/files\/snap_factsheet_colorado.pdf\">One in 10 Coloradans<\/a>, 584,500 people, receive SNAP benefits.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, a guaranteed income program might risk pushing some households\u2019 income above the eligibility cutoff for programs like SNAP \u2014 creating unintended consequences that harm household welfare. It\u2019s unclear whether assistance from a basic income program would count as reportable income.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Where <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/ai-artificial-intelligence-jobs-workers\/\">AI-driven job loss<\/a> is concerned, guaranteed income programs could smooth transitions for laid-off workers needing to upskill or move industries. However, guaranteed income programs are not likely to be sufficient in scope or generous enough to cushion workers from a potential restructuring of the labor market, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpmorgan.com\/insights\/global-research\/artificial-intelligence\/ai-impact-job-growth\">which may have already begun<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Assessing public support<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Given the high costs of creating a statewide guaranteed income program for Colorado, getting substantial public buy-in would be necessary.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/707884\/original\/file-20251210-56-zbyei6.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"Children stand in front of a cafeteria line of food.\"\/><figcaption>In 2025, Colorado voters passed legislation to fund a free lunch program for all students regardless of family income. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/news-photo\/children-have-a-choice-of-fruits-and-vegetables-at-the-news-photo\/161199222?adppopup=true\">Helen H. Richardson\/GettyImages<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cpr.org\/2025\/11\/04\/colorado-2025-election-results-prop-ll-mm\/\">Recent election results<\/a>, in which voters approved a new tax to fund free school meals for all students, suggest that Coloradans can support programs that help the most vulnerable families.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.denverbasicincomeproject.org\/colorado-cash-dividend\">recent privately funded poll in Colorado<\/a>, which was informed by our evaluation\u2019s estimates, found that 56% of voters would support a monthly $500 payment for all new parents, people experiencing homelessness, and low-income households. The poll found that Coloradans were less likely to support a program providing a smaller stipend to all Coloradans, regardless of their income.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Taken together, these polling results suggest that many Coloradans would support some form of need-based income assistance. However, the price of operating any statewide guaranteed income program could give them sticker shock.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Read more of our stories about <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/us\/local\">Colorado<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/jennifer-c-greenfield-523513\">Jennifer C. Greenfield<\/a>, Associate Professor of Social Work, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-denver-812\">University of Denver<\/a><\/em>; <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/kaitlyn-m-sims-2272597\">Kaitlyn M. Sims<\/a>, Assistant Professor of Public Policy, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-denver-812\">University of Denver<\/a><\/em>; <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/institute-for-humane-studies-6588\">Institute for Humane Studies<\/a><\/em>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/stefan-chavez-norgaard-2465377\">Stefan Chavez-Norgaard<\/a>, Teaching Assistant Professor of Public Policy, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-denver-812\">University of Denver<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This article is republished from <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/a-colorado-guaranteed-income-program-could-help-families-but-the-costs-are-high-269082\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jennifer C. Greenfield, University of Denver; Kaitlyn M. Sims, University of Denver; Institute for Humane Studies, and Stefan Chavez-Norgaard, University of Denver In Colorado, full-time workers need to earn an hourly wage of at least $36.79 to afford $2,000 in monthly rent, which is below the federal fair market rate for a Denver-area two-bedroom unit. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":56,"featured_media":41277,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[826,5,277,15306,46,42,10,25,296,27,4,15533],"tags":[2633,1907,4258,867,172,17249,885,891,886,860,14506,1097,2497,17248,2240,17247,6817,4976,10213],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41276"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/56"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41276"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41276\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":41341,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41276\/revisions\/41341"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/41277"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41276"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41276"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41276"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}