{"id":9682,"date":"2017-07-31T02:01:40","date_gmt":"2017-07-31T02:01:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/?p=9682"},"modified":"2017-08-01T02:05:08","modified_gmt":"2017-08-01T02:05:08","slug":"nutrient-pollution-voluntary-steps-are-failing-to-shrink-algae-blooms-and-dead-zones","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/nutrient-pollution-voluntary-steps-are-failing-to-shrink-algae-blooms-and-dead-zones\/","title":{"rendered":"Nutrient pollution: Voluntary steps are failing to shrink algae blooms and dead zones"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/donald-scavia-159919\">Donald Scavia<\/a>, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-michigan-1290\">University of Michigan<\/a><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Summer is the season for <a href=\"http:\/\/www.whoi.edu\/redtide\/\">harmful algae blooms<\/a> in many U.S. lakes and bays. They occur when water bodies become overloaded with nitrogen and phosphorus from farms, water treatment plants and other sources. Warm water and lots of nutrients promote rapid growth of algae that can be toxic and potentially fatal to aquatic life and people.<\/p>\n<p>Eventually algae settle to the bottom and decay, depleting dissolved oxygen in the water, creating <a href=\"http:\/\/www.smithsonianmag.com\/science-nature\/ocean-dead-zones-are-getting-worse-globally-due-climate-change-180953282\/\">hypoxia<\/a> \u2013 \u201cdead zones\u201d where oxygen levels are low enough to kill fish.<\/p>\n<p>As a senior scientist at the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration between 1975 and 2003, I developed annual hypoxia forecasts for the Chesapeake Bay and the Gulf of Mexico \u2013 two of our nation\u2019s water bodies most harmed by these blooms. At the University of Michigan, I helped develop harmful algae bloom forecasts for Lake Erie and continue to work with public and private organizations on these issues.<\/p>\n<figure>\n            <iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"440\" height=\"260\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/i70K0Duu-m4?wmode=transparent&amp;start=0\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">University of Michigan professor Donald Scavia discusses the 2015 forecasts.<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>States around Lake Erie and in the Mississippi River basin, which drains to the Gulf of Mexico, have been trying to reduce nutrient pollution for years. They rely  primarily on voluntary steps, such as offering grants to farmers to take steps to prevent fertilizer from washing off their fields.<\/p>\n<p>In contrast, states around the Chesapeake have had more success with a federally enforced plan that can impose mandatory actions across the bay\u2019s 64,000-square-mile watershed. From my perspective, when we compare these two approaches it is clear that voluntary measures are not even making modest dents in nutrient pollution. <\/p>\n<h2>This year\u2019s forecasts<\/h2>\n<p>This year\u2019s <a href=\"http:\/\/ns.umich.edu\/new\/releases\/24961-u-m-partners-predict-significant-summer-harmful-algal-bloom-for-western-lake-erie\">Lake Erie harmful algae bloom forecast<\/a> has a severity index of 7.5 on a scale of 1 to 10. This is comparable to the three largest blooms since 2011, including one that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/cityoftoledo\/posts\/738905586173078\">made the city of Toledo\u2019s tap water unusable<\/a> for three days in 2014. The algae produced microsystin \u2013 a toxin that can produce effects <a href=\"https:\/\/www.epa.gov\/nutrient-policy-data\/health-and-ecological-effects\">from mild skin rashes to serious illness or death<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/ns.umich.edu\/new\/releases\/24919-u-michigan-partners-predict-third-largest-gulf-of-mexico-summer-dead-zone-ever\">Gulf of Mexico forecast<\/a> predicts an 8,185-square-mile dead zone \u2013 more than four times the goal set by an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.epa.gov\/ms-htf\">intergovernmental task force<\/a>. This will be the third-largest Gulf of Mexico dead zone since measurements began 32 years ago.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"align-right zoomable\">\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.theconversation.com\/files\/180054\/area14mp\/file-20170727-8492-q4n7dr.png\"><img alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.theconversation.com\/files\/180054\/width237\/file-20170727-8492-q4n7dr.png\"><\/a><figcaption>\n              <span class=\"caption\">The Chesapeake Bay watershed covers more than 64,000 square miles in parts of six states and the District of Columbia.<\/span><br \/>\n              <span class=\"attribution\"><a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Chesapeake_Bay#\/media\/File:Chesapeakewatershedmap.png\">Kmusser<\/a>, <a class=\"license\" href=\"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-sa\/4.0\/\">CC BY-SA<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/ns.umich.edu\/new\/releases\/24900-larger-than-average-summer-dead-zone-predicted-for-chesapeake-bay-in-2017\">Chesapeake forecast<\/a> predicts a 1.9-cubic-mile hypoxic region \u2013 nearly the volume of 3.2 million Olympic-size swimming pools. This is much larger than goals reflected in recent policies. <\/p>\n<p>Nonetheless, at least the Chesapeake is moving in the right direction. The  amount of nutrients flowing into the bay is starting to decline.<\/p>\n<h2>The long quest to clean up Lake Erie<\/h2>\n<p>Lake Erie first suffered from heavy nutrient pollution in the 1960s. The Clean Water Act of 1972 triggered a remarkable cleanup. Nutrients, primarily from point (discreet) sources like sewage treatment plants, were cut in half, and the <a href=\"http:\/\/graham.umich.edu\/scavia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/Scavia-et-al-20142.pdf\">lake responded quickly<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>But harmful algae blooms and hypoxia <a href=\"http:\/\/graham.umich.edu\/scavia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/11\/Scavia-et-al-20142.pdf\">resurfaced in the mid-1990s<\/a>, probably because flows into the lake of a form of phosphorus that is readily used by algae tripled. The dead zone set a <a href=\"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1021\/es503981n\">new record in 2012<\/a>, and harmful algae blooms <a href=\"http:\/\/graham.umich.edu\/scavia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/PNAS.pdf\">set records in 2011<\/a> and 2015.  Even if blooms do not become toxic, they can have devastating effects. For example, the 2011 harmful algae blooms on Lake Erie cost the region <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ijc.org\/en_\/blog\/2015\/12\/17\/economic_benefits_of_reducing_HABs\/\">nearly US$71 million<\/a> in diminished property values, water treatment, and lost tourism revenues and recreational opportunities.<\/p>\n<p>In response, the United States and Canada negotiated new <a href=\"https:\/\/binational.net\/2016\/02\/22\/finalptargets-ciblesfinalesdep\/\">phosphorus loading targets<\/a> that call for a 40 percent reduction from 2008 levels. Ontario, Ohio, Michigan, Indiana, Pennsylvania and New York are developing <a href=\"https:\/\/binational.net\/2017\/03\/10\/dap-pan\/\">domestic action plans<\/a> to meet those targets.  <\/p>\n<p>Now however, 71 percent of nutrients entering Lake Erie are from <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jglr.2016.08.005\">non-point sources<\/a> \u2013 mainly from <a href=\"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1111\/j.1752-1688.2011.00574.x\">agriculture<\/a>. Non-point source pollution comes from diffuse sources, such as fertilizer washing off of farms and lawns, so it is harder to control. <\/p>\n<p>The United States contributes over 80 percent of Lake Erie\u2019s total phosphorus load. In sum, major load reductions will have to come from agriculture, mostly from U.S. farms.  <\/p>\n<figure class=\"align-center zoomable\">\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.theconversation.com\/files\/180251\/area14mp\/file-20170728-5295-12pnaz8.JPG\"><img alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.theconversation.com\/files\/180251\/width754\/file-20170728-5295-12pnaz8.JPG\"><\/a><figcaption>\n              <span class=\"caption\">Phosphorus loads to Lake Erie.<\/span><br \/>\n              <span class=\"attribution\"><span class=\"source\">[Maccoux et al. Journal of Great Lakes Research 42 (2016) 1151\u20131165](https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jglr.2016.08.005)<\/span><\/span><br \/>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>How effective are voluntary measures?<\/h2>\n<p>Governments generally are averse to imposing environmental regulations on farmland. As a result, most action plans for Lake Erie rely on voluntary, incentive-based programs to address nutrient loss from agricultural lands.<\/p>\n<p>But in the Mississippi River basin this approach has failed. In spite of more than 30 years of research and monitoring, over 15 years of <a href=\"http:\/\/tinyurl.com\/zju939n;\">assessments and goal-setting<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/graham.umich.edu\/scavia\/farm-bill-conservation-funding-1995-2015\/\">over US$30 billion<\/a> in federal conservation funding since 1995, average nitrogen levels in the Mississippi <a href=\"https:\/\/pubs.er.usgs.gov\/publication\/sir20135169\">have not declined since the 1980s<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.epa.gov\/ms-htf\">task force<\/a> leading this effort recently extended the deadline for its goal of a <a href=\"http:\/\/tinyurl.com\/j5rvfqk\">1,930-square-mile<\/a> dead zone from 2015 to 2035. Today the dead zone is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.gulfhypoxia.net\/Research\/\">more than triple that size<\/a>. Our <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pnas.org\/content\/early\/2017\/07\/27\/1705293114\">newly published modeling<\/a><br \/>\nshows that it would take a 59 percent reduction in the amount of nitrogen entering the Gulf of Mexico to reach the task force\u2019s goal. <\/p>\n<figure class=\"align-center \">\n            <img alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.theconversation.com\/files\/178883\/width754\/file-20170719-13567-cdeeds.jpg\"><figcaption>\n              <span class=\"caption\">Dissolved oxygen levels in the Gulf of Mexico in summer 2010.<\/span><br \/>\n              <span class=\"attribution\"><a class=\"source\" href=\"http:\/\/www.noaanews.noaa.gov\/stories2010\/20100809_deadzone.html\">NOAA<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>The Chesapeake Bay\u2019s pollution diet<\/h2>\n<p>States around the Chesapeake Bay also struggled for decades to make voluntary, incentive-based approaches work. Their efforts were overwhelmed by the impacts of population growth and agricultural production. <\/p>\n<p>Frustrated by worsening conditions, the states asked EPA in 2010 to  establish a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.chesapeakebay.net\/what\/programs\/total_maximum_daily_load\">total maximum daily load<\/a> \u2013 a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.epa.gov\/chesapeake-bay-tmdl\">\u201cpollution diet\u201d<\/a> within a regulatory framework under the Clean Water Act that limits the amount of nutrients and sediment that can enter the bay. Bay states and the District of Columbia then developed <a href=\"http:\/\/www.chesapeakebay.net\/about\/programs\/watershed\">implementation plans<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.chesapeakebay.net\/managementstrategies\">management strategies<\/a> detailing how and when each jurisdiction would meet its individual goals. <\/p>\n<p>Unlike voluntary strategies, this approach has teeth. If states miss interim milestones for reducing pollutants, EPA can impose <a href=\"https:\/\/www.epa.gov\/sites\/production\/files\/2014-12\/documents\/cbay_final_tmdl_section_7_final_0.pdf\">\u201cbackstop measures<\/a>,\u201d such as requiring additional reductions from point sources and withholding federal grant money. <\/p>\n<p>Agricultural groups, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbf.org\/how-we-save-the-bay\/chesapeake-clean-water-blueprint\/21-states-oppose-clean-water-for-chesapeake-bay-states.html\">supported by 21 states outside the Chesapeake watershed<\/a>, challenged the total maximum daily load in court but <a href=\"http:\/\/www.chesapeakebay.net\/blog\/post\/court_upholds_chesapeake_bay_pollution_diet\">lost<\/a>. Between 2009 and 2015, loads of nitrogen, phosphorus and sediment in the bay dropped by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.chesapeakebay.net\/documents\/2015-2016_Bay_Barometer.pdf\">8 percent, 20 percent and 7 percent<\/a>, respectively. Underwater grasses and the bay\u2019s iconic blue crabs are <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbf.org\/about-the-bay\/state-of-the-bay-report\/2016\/index.html?referrer=https:\/\/www.google.com\/\">starting to recover<\/a>.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"align-center \">\n            <img alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.theconversation.com\/files\/180059\/width754\/file-20170727-9209-g1jo2g.jpg\"><figcaption>\n              <span class=\"caption\">The Chesapeake Bay\u2019s $100 million blue crab fishery is starting to recover after years of decline due mainly to water pollution.<\/span><br \/>\n              <span class=\"attribution\"><a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/flic.kr\/p\/p2tSVr\">Chesapeake Bay Program<\/a>, <a class=\"license\" href=\"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc\/4.0\/\">CC BY-NC<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n            <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>No diet for Lake Erie<\/h2>\n<p>Environmental groups recently <a href=\"http:\/\/greatlakesecho.org\/2017\/05\/03\/environmental-groups-sue-epa-over-condition-of-lake-erie\/\">sued EPA<\/a> to force stronger action on nutrient pollution in Lake Erie\u2019s western basin, with support from <a href=\"https:\/\/kaptur.house.gov\/media-center\/press-releases\/effort-combat-declining-water-quality-lake-erie-dingell-kaptur-urge-epa\">several members of Congress<\/a> and the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ijc.org\/en_\/leep\/report\">International Joint Commission<\/a>, which coordinates efforts by the United States and Canada. But EPA will apparently write a total maximum daily load only if both Michigan and Ohio, the two key states in the western basin watershed, agree. (EPA Administrator Scott Pruitt endorsed the Chesapeake Bay total maximum daily load only <a href=\"https:\/\/www.c-span.org\/video\/?c4648350\/scott-pruitt-tmdl\">because all six states in the bay\u2019s watershed supported it<\/a>.) <\/p>\n<p>Michigan recently <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mlive.com\/news\/index.ssf\/2017\/06\/jamie_clover_adams_lake_erie.html\">declared its portion of Lake Erie \u201cimpaired<\/a>,\u201d which is required to trigger a total maximum daily load. But Ohio declared only some of its shorelines impaired, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usnews.com\/news\/best-states\/ohio\/articles\/2017-05-23\/epa-rejects-declaring-lake-eries-waters-in-ohio-impaired\">EPA concurred<\/a>. So prospects for a recovery are slim.<\/p>\n<p>EPA\u2019s web page calls nutrient pollution one of America\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.epa.gov\/nutrientpollution\/problem\">\u201cmost widespread, costly and challenging environmental problems<\/a>.\u201d But voluntary action is not solving it. And President Trump\u2019s EPA budget request would <a href=\"http:\/\/www.politico.com\/tipsheets\/morning-agriculture\/2017\/05\/24\/ag-gets-dismissed-by-trump-220482\">cut $165 million<\/a> in grants to states to deal with non-point source pollution.  <\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/counter.theconversation.edu.au\/content\/81249\/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic\" alt=\"The Conversation\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" \/>As I have <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/industrial-corn-farming-is-ruining-our-health-and-polluting-our-watersheds-39721\">detailed before<\/a>, taming nutrient pollution will require a broad national approach that includes steps such as modifying the American diet, changing agricultural supply chains and reducing production of corn-based ethanol. We also need to find the will to set legally binding limits when voluntary steps aren\u2019t enough.<\/p>\n<p><span><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/donald-scavia-159919\">Donald Scavia<\/a>, Professor of Environment and Sustainability; Professor of Environmental Engineering, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-michigan-1290\">University of Michigan<\/a><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p>This article was originally published on <a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a>. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/nutrient-pollution-voluntary-steps-are-failing-to-shrink-algae-blooms-and-dead-zones-81249\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Donald Scavia, University of Michigan Summer is the season for harmful algae blooms in many U.S. lakes and bays. They occur when water bodies become overloaded with nitrogen and phosphorus from farms, water treatment plants and other sources. Warm water and lots of nutrients promote rapid growth of algae that can be toxic and potentially [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":9683,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1862],"tags":[2868,2699,2870,2869,2871,2010,2700,1684],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9682"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/44"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9682"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9682\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9684,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9682\/revisions\/9684"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9683"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9682"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9682"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifeandnews.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9682"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}